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基于不完全数据统计分析的保障装备体系能力评估研究

Research on Capability Assessment of Support Equipment System Based on Incomplete Data Statistic Analysis

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【作者】 刘伟龙; 郑小蕾; 任骥; 李勇;

【Author】 Weilong LIU;Xiaolei ZHENG;Ji REN;Yong LI;Beijing Institute of Mechanical Equipment;United service college, National Defence University;School of Mechanical Engineering, University of Science and Technology Beijing;

【机构】 北京机械设备研究所; 国防大学联合勤务学院; 北京科技大学机械工程学院;

【摘要】 保障装备体系能力评估对体系论证设计和研发建设具有重要意义。针对保障装备体系纵横铰链,保障能力评价数据样本小,信息贫瘠,难以形成有效的体系能力评估的问题,提出了基于不完全数据统计分析的保障装备体系能力评估方法。首先,提出了"保障体系-保障能力层-保障指标层-保障装备层"的保障能力指标框架;其次,融合层次分析和熵值法,对保障能力指标进行赋权;再次,应用主成分分析法,对保障装备体系进行综合能力评估;最后,通过案例分析,证明了方法的可行性和合理性。

【Abstract】 The capability assessment is of great significance to the demonstration design,research and development of support equipment system. Aiming at the problem that it is difficult to form an effective capability assessment of the support equipment system due to the large system of support equipment, small data sample and poor information, a method of support equipment system capability assessment based on incomplete data statistic analysis is proposed. Firstly, the support capability index framework of "support system-support capability layer-support index layer-support equipment layer" is put forward. Secondly, the analytic hierarchy process and the entropy evaluation method are combined to give weight to the security capability index. Thirdly, principal component analysis(PCA) is applied to evaluate the comprehensive capability of the supporting equipment system. Finally, the feasibility and rationality of the method are proved by case analysis.

【基金】 山东省重大科技创新工程项目(2019TSLH0703);潍坊市科学技术发展计划项目(2020ZJ1004)资助课题
  • 【会议录名称】 第三届体系工程学术会议论文集——复杂系统与体系工程管理
  • 【会议名称】第三届体系工程学术会议——复杂系统与体系工程管理
  • 【会议时间】2021-04-16
  • 【会议地点】中国广东珠海
  • 【分类号】E92
  • 【主办单位】国防科技大学系统工程学院
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