【作者】 李敏； 陈守煜；

【Author】 Li Min;Chen Shouyu;School of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering,Dalian University of Technology;

【机构】 大连理工大学土木水利学院；

【摘要】 本文提出了考虑预报因子权重的径流中长期预报相似关系模糊推理法,为径流中长期预报提供了新的模糊推理方法;将其应用于大伙房水库年径流预报检验。检验结果表明:考虑因子权重的预报精度高于不考虑因子权重(相当于等权重)的预报结果,表明在径流中长期模糊推理预报中,考虑因子权重是必要的。更多还原

【Abstract】 In order to enrich and improve the fuzzy reasoning method for runoff mid-long term forecasting,a fuzzy reasoning method with factor weight is proposed based on similarity relationship.A case study of Dahuofang reservoir yearly runoff forecasting is given to verify this method.The results with factor weight is better than that with equal weigh.So the method with factor weight is reasonable.更多还原