【作者】 张赫； 姜薇； 王睿；

【Author】 ZHANG He;JIANG Wei;WANG Rui;College of Architecture,Tianjin University;

【机构】 天津大学建筑学院；

【摘要】 针对我国填海造地快速发展过程中,规模控制缺乏科学制定依据和有效、可量化的管控标准的现实,以大数据为基础,运用系统动力学法对需求与供给的分析进行综合平衡,建立规模评定系统因果关系总图。并在此基础上建立定量的方程关系,设定总计44组主要运算方程。最后通过天津滨海新区填海造地模拟验证,预测未来的用地平面布局,并推出系统模型关键参数,从而建立了可应用于其他填海造地区域的,全面、系统、客观、可量化、易操作的填海造地规模评定系统模型。更多还原

【Abstract】 In view of rapid development of land reclamation in China, faced with the reality that scale control of land reclamation is lack of scientific basis as well as effective and quantifiable standard, this paper use system dynamics method to establish causal relationship graph of the evaluation system based on Big Data after comprehensive balancing of supply and demand. Then, this paper set up 44 main operation equations to establish equation relationship according to the causal relationship graph. Finally, through simulation and verification in Tianjin Binhai New Area, this paper successfully predicts future land use layout, and obtains key parameters of the system model. In this way, a comprehensive, systemic, objective, quantifiable, and operable land reclamation scale control system model, which also can be used in other reclamation area, is established..更多还原