【作者】 肖晶晶； 霍治国； 李娜； 辛明月； 王丽； 卢小凤；

【Author】 XIAO Jing-jing~(1,2),HUO Zhi-guo~(2*),LI Na~(2,3),XIN Ming-yue~4,WANG Li~2,LU Xiao-feng~(2,5) (1.Zhejiang Climate Center,Hangzhou 310017; 2.Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences,Beijing 10086; 3.Shanxi Meteorological Service Center for Decision Making,Taiyuan,030006; 4.Shenyang Agricultural University,Shenyang 110161; 5.Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044)

【机构】 浙江省气候中心； 中国气象科学研究院； 山西省气象决策服务中心； 沈阳农业大学； 南京信息工程大学；

【摘要】 综述国内外小麦赤霉病发生流行的气象环境成因研究成果及其最新进展,包括小麦赤霉病发生流行的单一、多个气象因子和大尺度气候因子及其对小麦赤霉病发生流行的可能影响。结果表明:温度、雨湿条件、光照、风等气象要素在一定程度上决定了小麦赤霉病的发生流行程度,当温、湿等气象要素、菌源数量与花期在一定程度吻合时,会导致该病的大流行;El Nino、SST异常对赤霉病的发生流行有前兆性指示作用;结合地面气象因子、海温和500HPa高空环流建立的预测模型能够较好地预测赤霉病。指出了目前研究存在的缺陷,对该病未来研究的发展方向进行了展望。更多还原

【Abstract】 Overview of domestic and foreign wheat scab epidemic’ s meteorological and climatic causes’ research and their latest progresses of environmental causes,including the single meteorological factor,numbers of meteorological factors and large-scale climatic factors and so on.The results show that temperature,humility,light,wind and other meteorological factors, to a certain extent,determine the prevalence of the occurrence of wheat scab,especially when the temperature and humidity and other meteorological factors,the numbers of bacteria,to certain degree,coincide with the flowering period,it will lead to the pandemic of wheat scab disease; El Nino,SST anomalies play an precursory roles on the occurrence of scab epidemics;the combination of the ground meteorological data,SST data and 500HPa high-altitude circulation data to establish prediction model can be used to predict Fusarium head blight.Pointed out the shortcomings of the existing research and made a prediction about the future development.更多还原