【作者】 邱洪臣； 朱瑞祥；

【Author】 Qiu Hongchen,Zhu Ruixiang(College of Mechanical and Electronic Engineering,Northwest A&F University,Yangling 712100,Shaanxi,P.R.China)

【机构】 西北农林科技大学机械与电子工程学院；

【摘要】 本文利用1978-2008年间我国农机总动力与农业总产值的统计数据,运用协整理论和Granger因果检验方法,对农业机械化与农业经济的关系进行实证研究。结果表明,农机总动力与农业总产值之间存在协整关系,并具有从农机总动力到农业总产值的单方向的Granger原因,说明农业机械化对农业经济发展具有显著影响和促进作用。本研究成果不仅从理论上论证了农业机械化与农业经济之间存在相互影响关系,而且有重要的政策内涵,应在今后的研究中引起重视。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper made an empirical research on the linkage between agricultural mechanization and rural economy by undertaking a co-integration analysis and a Granger causality test for China with annual data of agricultural machinery total power(AMTP)and agricultural gross value(AGV)during the period 1978-2008.The result of this study shows that AMTP and AGV are co-integrated,and there is a unidirectional causality running from AMTP to AGV indicating that agricultural mechanization indeed prompted the development of rural economy.The findings of this study not only theoretically verify the important relationship between agricultural mechanization and rural economy,but also have important policy implications,which deserves further attention in future research.更多还原