【作者】 纪瑞鹏； 陈鹏狮； 冯锐； 张淑杰； 武晋雯； 张玉书；

【Author】 JI Rui-peng,CHENG Peng-shi,FENG Rui,ZHANG Shu-jie,WU Jin-wen,ZHANG Yu-shu* (Institute of Atmospheric Environment,CMA,Shenyang 110016,China)

【机构】 中国气象局沈阳大气环境研究所；

【摘要】 根据辽宁省农业气候资源特点,利用特尔斐法设计了由年太阳总辐射等11个要素组成的农业气候资源综合评价指标体系。根据层次分析法原理,构建由目标层、准则层、指标层组成的指标体系框架,并逐一确定每个评价指标的权重。通过计算单项农业气候资源指数,分别对光能资源、热量资源、水分资源的优劣程度进行评价,在此基础上计算资源优势度,完成对农业气候资源的综合定量评价。利用辽宁省52个气象台站2006年气象资料和1971～2000年30年气候资料,分别对52个评价单元2006年和常年农业气候资源的优劣程度进行综合评价。结果表明:辽宁省30年平均农业气候资源优势区大部分位于环渤海湾沿海一带,农业气候资源优势度在0.5以上;2006年朝阳县、阜新县、锦州大部、沈阳大部、昌图、盘锦及营口部分地区农业气候资源优势度偏低,光、温、水条件综合匹配稍差。更多还原

【Abstract】 According to the Agri-climatic resources in Liaoning Province,using the Delphi method, the study has designed a synthetic evaluation index system of the Agri-climatic resources composed of 11 essential factors including annual solar radiation.et al.In the study, according to the analytic hierarchy process principle, a frame of index system made up of target level, criterion level, index level has been established, & the weight for each index is determined one by one. By computing each single index, quality levels of the solar radiation resource,the thermal resource and the water resource carries are appraised separately, addationly, by computing resource dominant degree, comprehensive quantitative evaluation on the Agri-climatic resources has been finished.Besides, in the study, based on the data from 52 meteorological observatories in 2006 and data in 30 years from1971 to 2000 in Liaoning, comprehensive evaluation on the quality levels of each appraisal unit of Agri-climatic resources in 2006 and perennial ones are separately carried on. And the result shows that, from average of 30 years, most agri-climatic resources dominant areas with dominant degree above 0.5 in Liaoning Province are located in Bohai Gulf coast.In 2006,with solar,temperature,precipitation harmonizing slightly, the agri-climatic resources dominant degree in Chaoyang County, Fuxin County, most of Jinzhou, most of Shenyang, Changtu, Panjing and the partial Yingkou are somewhat lower.更多还原