【作者】 徐永能； 刘述芳； 刘英舜；

【Author】 Xu Yongneng1 Liu Shufang1.2 Liu Yingshun1 (1.Nanjing University of Science & Technology, Jiangsu Nanjing, 210094;2..Jincheng College of Nanjing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics, Jiangsu Nanjing, 210016,china )

【机构】 南京理工大学；

【摘要】 我国大城市正处于机动化、城市化快速发展阶段,城市公共客运交通结构演化也正处于关键时期。城市公共客运交通能否顺利走上可持续发展之路,决定于整体式的城市公共客运交通发展战略,决定于城市公共客运交通调控政策。论文依据耗散结构自组织理论和公共客运交通系统结构演化特征,建立了以公共客运交通客运量为状态变量的竞争与协调演化模型,并利用Matlab程序模拟分析了我国大城市公共客运交通结构在不同参数变化情况下的演化趋势和多方式有机协调的条件。更多还原

【Abstract】 The cities in China are in motorization and urbanization, and being in rapid development stage, the structural evolution of urban public passenger transport is also at a critical stage. Overall public passenger transport development strategy and urban public passenger transport regulatory policy decided future urban passenger transport sustainable development. Basing on some method of Dissipative Structure Theory (DST) and passenger transport system structure evolution, this research analyzes passenger transport structure evolution trends of the big city in different parameters, and more coordinated manner conditions with matlab.更多还原