河南省的城市生产率与城市化

【作者】 吴国伟；

【机构】 华东师范大学城市和区域发展研究所；

【摘要】 区域城市化的速度取决于城市在一定时间吸纳农村劳动力的能力,而这一能力又取决于城市生产率的高低。河南省是中国的第一人口大省,近几年河南省的经济增长保持了较快的增长速度,经济总量占全国的比重也不断上升,并成为中西部地区产值最高的省份,相应地其城市化水平也在迅速提升。在此过程中,河南省的城市生产率是否提高,其源泉来自哪些因素,成为本文关注的焦点问题。本文首先通过回归分析,揭示了河南省城市生产率的取决因素;进而构建了河南省的城市生产函数,分别采用不变弹性分析和可变弹性分析两种方法,分析了城市集聚经济性的两种动力——城市化与产业的地区集中,探讨了城市规模与城市生产率之间的关系,在此基础上来估算河南省城市发展的最优规模,以期对河南省的城市化进程提出政策建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 The growth speed of regional urbanization rate depends on its ability of absorbing the rural labors in a certain time-span, but this ability lies on the urban production rate(UPR). Henan province is the largest province in population in China, its economic growth maintains high speed in recent years, the general output(GDP) takes up more and more shares in China, and it has become the most contributive one in middle and west China. Accordingly its urbanization rate raises rapidly. This process has brought the problems of UPR and related factors into our focuses.In order to reveal the decisive factors of UPR of Henan province, the article firstly takes up the method of correlations analysis, found a function of urban production for Henan province. Based on the production function, both the methods of invariable elastic and variable elastic have been adopted to find the relationship between the urban production and the two key factors, those are respectively urban agglomerative economies and the city scale. Against the upper analysis the opium scale of the development of cities in Henan province has been offered, and some policy suggestions have been taken out.更多还原