【作者】 晏维； 蒋诗国； 李继银；

【Author】 Yan Wei Jiang Shi-guo Li ji yin (ChongQing Center For Disease Prevention And Control 400042)

【机构】 重庆市疾病预防控制中心；

【摘要】 目的研究重庆市1951-2001年疟疾发病的动态规律。方法分别建立疟疾新发病例和发病率的曲线模型。结果得到了重庆市人口数的二次曲线模型和新发病例的对数模型。结论重庆市疟疾动态的总趋势是持续下降的。更多还原

【Abstract】 [Objective] To study on the dynamic laws of the Malaria in chongQing municipal during 1951-2001 .Methods The antoregressive models of population.new cases and incidence rate for the malaria were set up. [Results] The Quadratic models of population and the Logarithmic models of new cases for Malaria dynamics were set up in ChongQing. [Conclusion] The general trends of the Malaria are continual descendant in ChongQing municipal.更多还原