【作者】 徐强；

【导师】 张吉善；

【作者基本信息】 东北大学 ， 工商管理（专业学位）， 2021， 硕士

【摘要】 项目风险管理是运用科学的技术和手段,在项目达到各项目干系人预期目标的基础上,使项目的成本达到最小化的管理工作。通过项目风险管理,有效地识别、评价、应对和监控项目建设过程中的风险因素,确保风险在项目的全生命周期内得到有效的管理。信息系统开发项目由于其独特性和复杂性,项目管理人员需要借助科学的方法和采用相应的工具来进行风险的管理工作。本文以Z公司供应商管理系统开发项目中的实施风险为研究对象,在项目风险识别阶段,采用头脑风暴法对项目风险进行识别,在识别出项目的风险因素后列出了项目风险因素清单。在风险评价阶段,采用层次分析法对识别出的风险因素进行量化分析,以构建层次结构模型和判断矩阵为基础,对风险因素的风险权重进行量化,并将风险权重按照相应的规则进行排序,最终得出了对Z公司供应商管理系统开发项目产生高程度风险影响的风险4个,中等程度风险影响的风险4个,低程度风险影响的风险9个。依据风险权重列表,针对各个级别的风险制定包括回避、转移、减轻及自留在内的不同应对策略,以达到降低风险发生概率和降低风险产生结果影响程度的目的。通过制定风险监控流程,及时更新风险因素列表,时刻保持对项目风险的监控和跟踪。论文研究得出,在项目的推进过程中,项目的风险管理存在于项目的各个阶段之中,利用科学、有效的风险管理机制,使项目风险得到有效的控制,对风险的及时监测,使项目能够顺利的进行,达到项目在立项之初的预期目标。更多还原

【Abstract】 Project management is based on the expected outputs of the participants,using science and technology and methods to minimise project costs.Through project management,we can identify,assess,respond and effectively monitor risk factors in the project construction process,the end of ensuring that risks are effectively resolved over the life cycle of the project.In this paper,we assume the risk of implementation of a project to develop a management system for Z.In project risk identification stage,using the brainstorming method to determine project risk.At the risk assessment stage,the analytical hierarchy process is used for quantitative analysis of the identified risk factors.Based on the conception of a model of hierarchical structure and a matrix of judgment,the risk weights of the risk factors are quantified and the risk weights according to the rules Four risks that have a high risk impact on the development project of company Z.The supplier management system,have four risks having a medium degree of risk impact and nine risks having a low risk impact on the Z-company;the project development of the supplier management system according to the list of risks,various management strategies,including prevention,transmission,mitigation and retention,achieving the objective,reduce the possibility of risk occurring and reduce the risk impact,corresponding risk level guidelines have been formulated.By formulating a risk monitoring process and timely risk factors update,project risk monitoring.The conclusion of this article is that project management passes through all stages of the project during the implementation of the project.The scientific and effective risk management mechanism was adopted to effectively monitor the project risk and to monitor the risk in a timely manner.更多还原