【作者】 张颖；

【导师】 高晶；

【作者基本信息】 哈尔滨理工大学 ， 工程管理（专业学位）， 2022， 硕士

【摘要】 随着R市加快“精致城市”建设的步伐,城乡生活垃圾等环境问题也接踵而来,如何走出垃圾围城的困境迫在眉睫。为响应国家各项垃圾处理政策,满足R市城市生活垃圾安全处置的需要,经规划考虑,R市政府准备建立固废处理与应用产业园,准备启动城市生活垃圾自源头至终端的系统处理模式。为保证项目按期完工,合理规避可能发生的风险并做好应对措施,需提前做好工程各项准备工作。本文将R市固废处理PPP一期项目作为风险研究对象,在了解项目概况的前提下,分析项目风险来源,选择风险识别工具,设计风险识别流程,从政策、经济、自然、建设、人员等五个维度剖析项目风险因素,得到了政府项目审批延迟、政府信用、政府配套措施不足、政策调整、资金保障、原材料价格变动、人力资源成本、自然、工程变更、工程安全、工程质量、工程完工以及技术水平等19项二级风险因素。在此基础上,根据风险列表构建R市固废处理PPP一期项目风险评价指标体系,基于AHP-模糊综合评价法构建项目的风险评价模型,再运用专家打分法,对判断矩阵赋值,进而计算风险因素权重,再通过模糊综合评价法得到固废处理PPP一期项目整体风险等级,并有针对性地设计项目风险应对方式,为顺利实施R市固废处理PPP一期项目提供重要的理论支持,也为类似项目建设提供了宝贵的实践参考。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the overall acceleration of urbanization in R city,more and more municipal solid waste(MSW)and environmental problems such as deterioration come along,so it is urgent to solve the problem of garbage siege.In order to respond to various national policies on meeting the need for safe disposal of municipal solid waste in R city,The r municipal government plans to establish an industrial park for solid waste treatment and application,initiating the systematic treatment mode of municipal solid waste from the source to the terminal treatment.In order to ensure the completion of the project on schedule,avoid the possible risks and deal with them properly.This paper takes the first-phase PPP project of solid waste treatment in R City as the risk research object.On the premise of understanding the basic situation of the project,it analyzes the overall progress of the project,designs risk identification methods and processes,and analyzes the risk factors of the project from politics,economy,nature,construction and personnel.We have obtained 19 secondary risk factors,such as delayed government project approval,government credit,insufficient government supporting measures,policy adjustment,financial security,change of raw material price,human resource cost,nature,engineering change,engineering safety,engineering quality,engineering completion and technical level.On the basis of risk identification,using Delphi method,AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to form belongs to R the municipal solid waste treatment,the first phase of PPP project risk evaluation system by building a solid waste disposal PPP risk evaluation model of the first phase of the project,system analysis the risk of possible problems in the project,to solve risk weighting,to score of risk factors,Thus,the overall risk level of the project is measured and the risk control mode of the project is designed specifically,which provides important theoretical support for the smooth implementation of the phase I PPP project of solid waste treatment in R City.Meanwhile,it also provides valuable theoretical basis and practical information for the construction of similar projects in other fields for reference and reference.更多还原