【作者】 陈彦；

【导师】 王磊；

【作者基本信息】 石河子大学 ， 应用经济学， 2022， 硕士

【摘要】 工业生产力水平是推动一个国家或地区经济发展的重要决定因素。工业化能够提高人民生活水平、促进资本积累,进而提升该地区的综合竞争实力。新疆作为丝绸之路经济带核心区,工业长期以高投入、高消耗、高排放、高污染的粗放型模式发展,造成工业结构性矛盾比较突出、经济质量效益不高、工业核心竞争力较弱。因此,发展核心区特色优势产业,促进新疆融入双循环的新发展格局,有助于满足国家对核心区建设的现实需求,维护新疆长治久安,新疆工业转型升级势在必行。本研究首先基于概念内涵,对基于丝绸之路经济带核心区建设的新疆工业转型升级机理进行分析;其次,通过新疆工业转型升级的资源环境条件、核心区的经济与工业发展状况对新疆工业转型升级进行基础分析;再次,从工业结构转型升级、工业动力转型升级以及工业产品转型升级三方面构建评价指标体系,运用熵值法对新疆总体工业转型升级水平及其细分行业进行测度并分析;然后,构建动态GMM模型进一步分析影响因素,在此基础上提出新疆工业转型升级的构想及保障措施。通过分析得出以下结论:(1)2010-2019年新疆工业转型升级水平总体呈现出波动上升的趋势,新疆工业结构转型升级水平的变化趋势呈现先下降后上升、再缓慢下降趋势;新疆工业动力转型升级水平总体呈现先上升后下降的趋势;新疆工业产品转型升级水平整体呈现上升趋势。其中,新疆的工业结构转型升级水平有待于进一步加强,工业产品转型升级取得了一定成效。(2)从工业细分行业看,新疆资本密集型工业行业转型升级水平近年来有所上升,技术密集型行业有待于加强技术含量,提高核心竞争力,劳动密集型行业发展较好,新疆的工业行业结构在不断优化调整。(3)实证结果表明,人力资本、金融发展、技术创新、信息化水平以及外商直接投资能够促进工业转型升级和工业结构转型升级,而政府干预具有抑制作用;人力资本、外商直接投资和技术创能显著促进工业动力转型升级,政府干预具有抑制作用;政府干预和信息化水平能够显著促进工业产品转型升级,而外商直接投资会阻碍工业产品转型升级。(4)推进新疆工业转型升级,应以壮大工业经济规模、聚焦区域价值链高端环节、加快推进信息化与工业融合;建立高效工业生产体系、提高新疆开放竞争程度、构建新疆工业转型升级技术创新体系、加强工业品牌建设。更多还原

【Abstract】 The level of industrial productivity is an important decisive factor to promote the economic development of a country or region.Industrialization can improve people’s living standards,promote capital accumulation,and then enhance the comprehensive competitive strength of the region.As the core area of the Silk Road Economic Belt,Xinjiang’s industry has developed in an extensive mode of high input,high consumption,high emission and high pollution for a long time,resulting in prominent industrial structural contradictions,low economic quality and efficiency and weak industrial core competitiveness.Therefore,the development of characteristic and advantageous industries in the core area and the promotion of Xinjiang’s integration into the new development pattern of double circulation will help to meet the country’s practical needs for the construction of the core area and maintain the long-term stability of Xinjiang.It is imperative for Xinjiang’s industrial transformation and upgrading.Firstly,based on the concept connotation,this study analyzes the mechanism of industrial transformation and upgrading in Xinjiang Based on the construction of the core area of the Silk Road Economic Belt;Secondly,it makes a basic analysis of Xinjiang’s industrial transformation and upgrading through the resource and environmental conditions of Xinjiang’s industrial transformation and upgrading and the economic and industrial development of the core area;Thirdly,the evaluation index system is constructed from the three aspects of industrial structure transformation and upgrading,industrial power transformation and upgrading and industrial product transformation and upgrading,and the entropy method is used to measure and analyze the overall industrial transformation and upgrading level and its sub industries in Xinjiang;Then,a dynamic GMM model is constructed to further analyze the influencing factors,and on this basis,the conception and guarantee measures of industrial transformation and upgrading in Xinjiang are put forward.Through the analysis,the following conclusions are drawn:(1)from 2010 to 2019,the overall level of industrial transformation and upgrading in Xinjiang showed a fluctuating upward trend,and the change trend of the level of industrial structure transformation and upgrading in Xinjiang showed a downward trend first,then an upward trend,and then a slow downward trend;The level of industrial power transformation and upgrading in Xinjiang generally shows a trend of first rising and then falling;The overall level of transformation and upgrading of industrial products in Xinjiang shows an upward trend.Among them,the level of industrial structure transformation and upgrading in Xinjiang needs to be further strengthened,and the transformation and upgrading of industrial products has achieved certain results.(2)From the perspective of industrial segments,the transformation and upgrading level of capital intensive industries in Xinjiang has increased in recent years.Technology intensive industries need to strengthen their technical content and improve their core competitiveness.Labor intensive industries have developed well,and the industrial structure of Xinjiang is constantly optimized and adjusted.(3)The empirical results show that human capital,financial development,technological innovation,information level and foreign direct investment can promote industrial transformation and upgrading and industrial structure transformation and upgrading,while government intervention can inhibit it;Human capital,foreign direct investment and technological innovation can significantly promote the transformation and upgrading of industrial power,and government intervention can inhibit it;Government intervention and informatization level can significantly promote the transformation and upgrading of industrial products,while foreign direct investment will hinder the transformation and upgrading of industrial products.(4)To promote industrial transformation and upgrading in Xinjiang,we should expand the scale of industrial economy,focus on the high-end links of regional value chain,and accelerate the integration of informatization and industry;Establish an efficient industrial production system,improve the degree of open competition in Xinjiang,build a technological innovation system for industrial transformation and upgrading in Xinjiang,and strengthen the construction of industrial brands.更多还原