【作者】 胡颖；

【导师】 谢贞发；

【作者基本信息】 厦门大学 ， 财政学， 2021， 硕士

【副题名】基于CMDS数据的实证研究

【摘要】 城市落户限制放宽后,如何提高城市吸引力、促进城市间的协调发展成为了一个重要且迫切的议题。本文以中国特有的城市治理结构为背景,从城市行政等级角度构建了劳动力落户影响机理的分析框架,并将2016-2017年中国人口动态监测调查数据(CMDS)与中国城市数据进行匹配,利用Logit模型研究取消落户限制后,城市行政等级与劳动力落户的关系。通过一系列稳健性检验和异质性检验后发现,城市行政等级对劳动力落户有显著吸引作用,对城市公共服务水平和房价有正向推动作用。城市公共服务水平、房价和劳动力落户三者关系如下:公共服务水平的提升能够促进劳动力落户意愿,而房价对劳动力落户意愿产生先吸引后抑制的倒U型影响,这是房价作为城市的特征信号带来预期高收入的拉力与房价作为居住成本降低可支配收入产生的阻力相互作用的结果。从异质性结果来看,未购买住房、教育水平低、女性、年轻人、家庭规模较小、流入时间越长、居民户口和省内流动的劳动力对城市等级和公共服务水平更敏感;购买住房、教育水平高、男性、中年、家庭规模小、流入时间5-10年、居民户口和跨省流动的劳动力落户决策对房价更敏感。内陆城市的行政等级对落户意愿的影响更大,沿海城市的公共服务水平和房价对劳动力落户决策的作用更明显。更进一步研究,在同一行政等级下,地级市和副省级城市的公共服务水平和房价对劳动力落户意愿有显著促进作用。最后结合本文结论,针对促进劳动力均衡配置和促进城市协调发展,提出弱化城市行政等级在城市治理中的作用,以及推进户籍制度改革、增强各城市公共服务水平和核心竞争力的建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 After the restrictions on urban settlement are relaxed,it’s important and urgent to improve the attractiveness of cities and promote the coordinated development between cities.Based on the background of China’s unique urban governance structure,with the perspective of urban administrative hierarchy,this paper constructs an analysis framework of the impact mechanism of labor force settlement.matches the data of China’s population dynamic monitoring survey(CMDS)from 2016 to 2017 with the data of Chinese cities,and uses logit model to study the relationship between urban hierarchy and labor force settlement after the removal of settlement restrictions.Through a series of robustness tests,it finds that the urban administrative level has a significant role in promoting the attraction of labor force,and the administrative level has a positive role in promoting the level of urban public service and housing price,the public service level has a significant role in promoting the willingness of labor force to settle down,and the housing price has an inverted U-shaped effect on labor settlement.It is because that house price as the symbol of the city,is the result of the interaction between the pull of expected high income and house price as the resistance of housing cost to reduce disposable income.From the perspective of heterogeneity results,non purchased housing,low level of education,women,young people,small family size,the longer the inflow time,household registration and floating labor force in the province are more sensitive to the city level and public service level;Housing purchase,high level of education,male,middle-aged,small family size,inflow time of 5-10 years,household registration and inter provincial Migration of labor force are more sensitive to housing prices.The administrative level of inland cities has a greater impact on the settlement intention.The public service level and housing price of coastal cities have more obvious effect on the decision-making of labor settlement.Further study found that under the same administrative level,the level of public services and housing prices of prefecture level cities and sub provincial cities have a significant role in promoting the willingness of labor force to settle down.Finally,combined with the conclusion of this paper,aiming at promoting the balanced allocation of labor and promoting the coordinated development of city,the paper proposes the suggestion of weakening the role of city administrative grade in city governance,promoting household registration reform,and enhancing the city’s public service level and core competitiveness.更多还原