【作者】 李娟；

【导师】 朱勤东；

【作者基本信息】 福州大学 ， 测绘工程（专业学位）， 2018， 硕士

【摘要】 福建省是我国渔业大省,其渔业产值、水产品养殖量和捕捞量均位于全国前列,但随着资源环境约束紧张、水产养殖布局不合理、渔业养殖技术落后等问题日益严重,探讨福建省县域渔业时空格局分布和演化对优化区域和产业布局,推动渔业转方式调结构具有现实性指导意义。本文基于对国内外渔业发展的理论基础和实践研究的分析上,采用福建省2007年至2016年相关渔业数据和社会经济数据,运用传统的实证分析和空间统计分析方法,从福建省县域渔业的差异性、结构性、关联性等方面对福建省县域渔业时空格局的特征、演化过程进行了分析论证,并选取渔业和社会经济相关指标,使用地理加权回归模型和空间自回归模型,对福建省县域渔业时空格局的驱动因素进行分析,取得结果如下:(1)研究表明福建省渔业在市域维度上逐渐呈现出“一点一带一片”的特点,以福州市为渔业发展核心点,宁德、莆田、泉州、漳州共同组成沿海渔业集聚带,并以沿海城市渔业集聚带为轴向周围地市扩散,带动内陆地市的渔业发展;县域维度上以连江、福清、霞浦等渔业发达区域为核心点集聚,以海岸线为轴线构成点轴渐进扩散模式,沿海县域间互相作用构成渔业空间结构体系。(2)采用实证分析和空间分析方法研究福建省县域渔业时空格局演变特征。分析表明,在2007年至2016年间,福建省县域渔业发展差异较大,沿海县域渔业发展与内陆县域渔业发展呈现两极分化的现象,并形成以沿海县域为主要渔业集聚区和渔业发展产业带,且在2007年至2016年间县域渔业重心逐渐向沿海东北方向迁移。(3)选择传统经济地理因素、新经济地理因素和渔业政策因素所含9个指标,并利用空间自回归模型和地理加权回归模型对福建省县域渔业时空格局驱动机制进行研究,研究表明水产品养殖条件、渔业人力资本以及交通条件是渔业时空格局形成及差异产生的主要原因;政府干预程度在一定程度上会推动或抑制差异的产生;县域的区位地理优势和乡村居民消费需求对区域差异产生有正向推进作用;产业外向度和城镇化随着不断合理和成熟也对县域渔业格局的形成有一定的推进作用;城镇居民消费需求逐渐对渔业时空格局的形成有着负向的抑制作用。更多还原

【Abstract】 Fujian Province is a major fishery province in China,which fishery output,aquaculture production and catches are all in the forefront in the country.However,with the constraints of resources and environment,irrational aquaculture layout and increasingly backward fishing technologies,exploring the distribution and evolution of spatial and temporal patterns of fisheries in counties in Fujian Province is of guiding significance for optimizing the regional and industrial layout and promoting the structural change of fishery transfer.Based on the detailed analysis of relevant theories and practices of fisheries development both at home and abroad,this paper analyzes the characteristics of spatial and temporal patterns of fisheries in Fujian Province from the aspects of relevance,structure and spatial dependence of fisheries in counties in Fujian Province through empirical analysis and spatial analysis respectively,Evolutionary process was demonstrated.Fishery and socio-economic indicators were selected.Using Spatial Autoregressive model and Geographic Weighted regression model,the driving factors of fishery spatial and temporal patterns in counties of Fujian Province were analyzed.The results were as follows:(1)The study shows that the fisheries of Fujian Province gradually shows the characteristics of"one point,one belt and one area".Fuzhou is the core point of fishery development,and Ningde,Putian,Quanzhou,and Zhangzhou together form a coastal fishery agglomeration zone and fisheries in the coastal cities.The agglomeration belt spreads around the cities in the axial direction and drives the development of fisheries in inland cities;in the county area,it concentrates on the developed areas of Lianjiang,Fuqing,Xiapu and other fisheries,and takes the shoreline as the axis to constitute the point axis progressive diffusion model,along the coastal counties.Interacting with each other to form a fishery spatial structure system.(2)Empirical analysis and spatial analysis were used to study the evolvement characteristics of spatial and temporal patterns of fisheries in counties of Fujian Province.The analysis shows that between 2007 and 2016,the fishery development in counties in Fujian Province is quite different.The development of fisheries in the coastal counties and inland fisheries shows the phenomenon of polarization.With the coastal counties as the main fishing agglomeration areas and industrial belt of fishery development,In the last ten years,the focus of fisheries gradually shifted to the northeast of the coast.(3)Select nine indicators of traditional economic geographical factors,new economic geographical factors and fishery policy factors,and use Spatial Autoregressive model and Geographic Weighted Regression model to study the driving mechanism of temporal and spatial pattern of fisheries in counties of Fujian Province.Studies have shown that aquaculture Conditions,the human capital of fishery and traffic conditions are the main reasons for the formation and discrepancy of fishery spatio-temporal pattern.The extent of government intervention will promote or inhibit the generation of discrepancies to a certain extent.The geographical location advantages of the county and the consumption demand of rural residents have different impacts on the regional differences Positive and positive effect;industrial extroversion and urbanization continue to be reasonable and mature,but also promote the formation of the county fishery pattern;consumption demand of urban residents gradually has a negative inhibitory effect on the formation of fishery temporal and spatial pattern.更多还原