【作者】 张鹏；

【导师】 焦克源；

【作者基本信息】 兰州大学 ， 公共管理（专业学位）， 2017， 硕士

【摘要】 西北民族地区因其地区范围内地势起伏相对较大、山地多和水资源丰富等特点,具有得天独厚的水电发电优势。水电站类能源项目工程作为其中一种常见的重大项目,在建设过程中尚存在诸如征地拆迁补偿等问题,如果问题处理不当会影响周边居民的生产和生活;如果项目建设在少数民族聚集区,甚至可能会引起民族冲突,造成群众的不良情绪抵触;此外,项目的开展也不可避免地会对生态环境造成影响。这些都是重大能源项目实施中的风险隐患。为从源头上预防和有效化解西北民族地区水电站类重大能源项目工程建设和运营过程中可能出现的不稳定因素,维护周边居民的合法权益,保证项目的平稳运行和当地社会的稳定,本文基于当前重大能源项目社会稳定风险评估的现状,把社会燃烧理论与公共危机管理理论作为切入点,将青海玛尔挡水电站项目作为主要研究对象,论述了重大能源项目的社会稳定风险问题,通过实地调查以及专家评分,形成了科学的社会稳定风险的指标评估体系,分析并估计青海玛尔挡水电站项目的开展也许会带来的社会稳定风险,并在此基础上总结归纳防范和化解风险的方案措施。评估结果表明,青海玛尔挡水电站项目的社会稳定风险的等级为“低风险”。它的建设符合国家基本政策法规和程序,生态环境影响合理,干预措施充分,主要包括补偿资金的发放、移民的生产和生活、以及社会保障等六个方面的风险因素。针对这些风险因素,本文提出多方面的风险防范和化解建议:保证按时、足额发放移民逐年补偿金;大力培育非农就业岗位,解决移民再就业问题;加强与移民群众的有效沟通,做好信息公开公示工作;对可能发生的公共危机事件,做好相应的应急救援预案等,使水电站的建设真正起到惠民利民的作用,促进经济增长和居民生活的改善。更多还原

【Abstract】 There is a great advantage of hydropower for northwest ethnic area in China for its mountainous and rich water resource.Hydropower project is a kind of energy projects,which is common but still with some problems in construction,such as compensation for land acquisition and demolition.If handled improperly,it will affect residents’ living life and daily working,especially for ethnic minority,causing negative reactions and ecological environment pollution,which are hidden risks for major energy projects.In order to deal with the hidden risks which may occur during the construction of major power projects,further the implementation effectively,it is necessary to make a risk assessment of major energy projects.This paper is based on the theory of social combustion and the theory of public crisis management,taking about the construction of Maerdang hydropower station in Qinghai Province,discussing the social stability risk of major energy projects and establishing a scientific and effective risk assessment system of social stability,and evaluates the risk of social stability that may be triggered by the Maerdang hydropower station in Qinghai Province.The social stability risk assessment result is that the Maerdang hydropower station in Qinghai is "low risk".Its construction is in line with policies and regulations of the state,the construction procedures are legal,with a little ecological environment harm.The risk assessment show that there are six risk factors,including payment of compensation funds,resettles’ living and working,compensation standard for land acquisition and expropriation,the environmental and safety risks during construction,public safety under construction,and the acceptance of local residents.Then this paper puts forward some counter measures to reduce the risk and make a preparation for emergency,such as timely and full payment of resettlement compensation and vigorously cultivate non-agricultural jobs to help immigrants’ re-employment and so on,which will promote the economic development and improve the living standards of residents.更多还原