【作者】 李可；

【导师】 赵家章； 陈伟；

【作者基本信息】 首都经济贸易大学 ， 国际商务（专业学位）， 2017， 硕士

【摘要】 在全球经济增速放缓、国内经济“L型增长”的背景下,各国更加关注经济增长方式的转变,去库存、去产能成为国内重要任务。服务业低污染、低能耗及高附加值的特点正好符合当今经济发展方式和贸易结构调整的需求。产业内贸易现象不仅发生于发达国家间,也在发达国家与发展中国家间、发展中国家间浮现。本文以贸易理论为基础,结合实证分析,研究了中美、中日服务业产业内贸易的现状、特征及影响因素,根据实证结果为我国深化经济体制改革、优化产业结构、积极开展与美国、日本及其他国家间的服务贸易提出了相应的政策建议。本文以概念定义为起点,将研究范围限定于服务业产业内贸易。之后对国内外研究进行梳理,评述现有成果,并以此为立足点试图有所创新地开展研究。随后对中国整体、中美、中日的服务业产业内贸易水平进行了简要说明,使用G-L指数、MIIT指数等进行测度,从整体及行业层面对服务业产业内贸易的现状和特点进行了研究。得到以下结论:中美、中日服务贸易以产业内贸易为主,其中中美以垂直型为主,而中日以水平型为主。文章基于产业内贸易理论及服务贸易的特点,在理论上分析了服务产品差异性、消费者需求偏好、生产者规模经济、外国直接投资、对外开放度及产业结构等因素对服务业产业内贸易的影响机理,为实证研究奠定了理论基础。之后通过单位根检验、多元回归等方法对中美、中日服务业产业内贸易的影响因素进行了实证分析。结果表明:整体上规模经济经济及外商直接投资对服务业产业内贸易有促进作用,而人均收入差异有反向作用;从分类角度分析出现了特殊状况:中美水平型产业内贸易水平和人均收入差异同向变动,与外商直接投资反向变动;中日垂直型产业内贸易水平受到市场规模、人均收入差异和货物密集度的反向影响。最后根据实证分析的结论对我国提出了相关的政策建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 Most countries start to give more concern to the transformation of economic growth mode,under the background of the deceleration of global economic growth.China started to reduce inventory,excessive product and cut capacity with the "L-type grow" in China.The advantage of service industry,which includes low pollution,low energy consumption and high added value,has totally fulfilled these requirement.However,the intra-industry trade happens among not only developed countries,but also the developing ones and the mix of them.Based on the theories of trade and the empirical analysis,this paper studies the present situation,characteristics and influencing factors of intra-industry trade between China and America,China and Japan.According to the results,this paper puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations.In this paper,the definition of the concepts come first.Then the literatures review.Thirdly,the paper clarifies the intra-industry trade level of C hina as a whole,Sino-US and Sino-Japan.Using the G-L and MIIT index to study the present situation and characteristics of intra-industry trade.The index shows that the Sino-US,Sino-Japan trade in services mainly happens in the IIT way,while the Sino-US tends to be vertical,and the Sino-Japan is horizon.Based on the theory of intra-industry trade and the characteristics of trade in services,this paper analyzes the factors such as service product differentiation,consumer’s demand preference,producer’s scale economy,foreign direct investment,opening degree and industrial structure,etc.The mechanism of the study,laid the theoretical foundation for empirical research.Through the methods of unit root test and multiple regression,this paper makes an empirical analysis on the influencing factors of intra-industry trade between China-US and China-Japan.The results show that the economies of scale and foreign direct investment have a positive effect on the intra-industry trade of the service industry,and the per capita income difference has a reverse effect.Finally,according to the conclusion of empirical analysis,this paper puts forward some relevant policy suggestions.更多还原