【作者】 陈琳；

【导师】 夏海勇；

【作者基本信息】 南京大学 ， 人口、资源与环境经济学， 2014， 硕士

【副题名】以江苏省为例

【摘要】 当今人类社会已跨进21世纪,经济趋于全球化,城市化已经成为推动经济增长的重要引擎。当前江苏省正处于深化改革、促进经济转型的关键时期,在这样的宏观背景下,分析城市化与经济增长的相互作用传导机制及讨论如何协调城市化与经济增长的关系,促进江苏省经济可持续发展,具有重要的理论和现实意义。本文首先概括论文研究的背景和意义,提出论文所要研究的问题。第2章从国内国外两个方面回顾了城市化与经济增长的研究成果。第3章给出城市化的相关概念,对城市化与经济增长的经典理论进行回顾,并在对城市化与经济增长的相互作用传导机制分析的基础上,提出了江苏省城市化与经济增长的互动理论框架。在第4章中首先详细介绍了江苏省的经济增长和城市化的基本概况,接着运用现代动态计量分析方法和通径分析方法,对江苏省1990年-2012年的时间序列数据进行实证分析。得出本文的主要研究结论：①江苏省城市化与经济增长之间存在一种长期的动态均衡关系,并且城市化对经济增长的促进效应存在一定的滞后期。②消费已经成为城市化推动江苏省经济增长中的重要因素。③江苏省城市化通过消费拉动经济增长大于其通过产业结构变动促进经济增长的效应。最后,根据本文的研究结论,提出以下政策建议：①不断调整和优化产业结构②重视人力资本投资,大力发展知识经济③积极扩大消费需求,促进消费结构升级④缩小城乡收入差距。更多还原

【Abstract】 Today’s human society has stepped into the 21st century, economic globalization,.urbanization has become the important engine to promote the growth of the economy. Current in jiangsu province is in a critical period of deepening reform, promoting economic transformation, in such a macroscopic background, the analysis of the transmission mechanism of interaction of urbanization and economic growth, and to discuss how to coordinate the relationship between urbanization and economic growth, promote the economic sustainable development in jiangsu province, is of important theoretical and realistic significance.This paper first summarized thesis research background and significance, thesis put forward the problems for study. Chapter 2 from both home and abroad are reviewed the research results of the urbanization and economic growth. Chapter 3 gives the related concept of urbanization, a review of the classical theory of urbanization and economic growth, and on the interaction between urbanization and economic growth based on the analysis of the transmission mechanism, puts forward the theoretical framework the interaction of urbanization and economic growth in jiangsu province. In the fourth chapter first introduced the basic situation of the economic growth and urbanization in jiangsu province, and then using the modern dynamic econometric analysis method and path analysis methods, for jiangsu province in 1990-2012 time series data for empirical analysis. In this paper, the main research conclusions:(1) the urbanization and economic growth in jiangsu province there is a long-term dynamic equilibrium relationship between, and the promoting effect of urbanization on economic growth there is a certain lag. (2) consumption has become the important factors to promote economic growth in jiangsu province urbanization. (3) the urbanization of jiangsu province through consumption growth is greater than its effect through the change of industrial structure to promote economic growth.Finally, according to the research conclusion of this paper, and put forward the following Suggestions:(1)adjust and optimize industrial structure (2) attaches great importance to the human capital investment and to develop the knowledge economy (3) expand consumer demand, and promote the consumption structure upgrade (4) Narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas更多还原