【作者】 张晶；

【导师】 迟国泰；

【作者基本信息】 大连理工大学 ， 项目管理（专业学位）， 2014， 硕士

【摘要】 风险管理是项目管理的重要环节,北方重工的项目管理团队获得海外工程总承包资质的时间较短,风险管理意识薄弱,没有科学的管理流程,主要依靠项目经理的个人经验应对项目风险。因此,针对北方重工埃塞俄比亚NCSC水泥厂3000t/dEPC项目进行深入的风险管理研究不仅可以为该项目构建完整的项目风险管理模式,确保项目顺利进行,还可以为今后的项目风险管理提供宝贵的参考经验。本文分为七章。第一章是绪论。第二章是理论综述。第三章是埃塞俄比亚NCSC水泥厂3000t/dEPC项目简介。第四章是埃塞俄比亚NCSC水泥厂3000t/dEPC项目的主要风险识别。第五章埃塞俄比亚NCSC水泥厂3000t/d项目风险评估。第六章是埃塞俄比亚NCSC水泥厂3000t/d项目风险控制措施。最后一章为本文的结论。本文的研究重点：首先,本文系统的阐述了与项目风险管理相关的理论。其次,针对埃塞俄比亚NCSC水泥厂3000t/dEPC项目风险情况复杂、种类繁多的特点,采用层次分析法划分风险等级,使风险控制更加具有针对性。本文的主要创新点：一是以问卷调查的方式,经过风险管理专家、北方重工代表和业主代表共同商讨,取得客户认可的风险因素的权重。改变了过去单纯依靠项目经理个人经验判断风险权重的做法,使调查结果更加切合实际。二是.通过风险判断矩阵,把识别出的16个风险因素划分成高、中、低三个风险等级,改变了北方重工在对风险等级进行判断时,人为因素占主导地位的做法,使风险等级的划分变得准确、科学。三是将项目的风险控制视为一个动态的过程,严密监控风险的发展趋势。通过完善的风险管理流程防止风险升级,改善北方重工在风险管理过程中风险等级一成不变、不注重风险跟踪的状况。更多还原

【Abstract】 Risk Management is a very important stage during project management. Northern Heavy Industries Group Co., Ltd does not have many experiences and Risk Management awareness in the field of overseas EPC construction project. There is no scientific management process for management risk and only rely on project manager’s experience to control the risk. So the research on the Ethiopia NCSC cement plant3000t/d EPC project can not only build a completed Risk Management System to assure the whole project to be finished successfully but also can supply valuable experiences for the project manager in the future.The whole article is divided into seven chapters. The first chapter is Introduction; the second chapter is Theory Review; the third chapter is the brief introduction of the whole project; the fourth chapter is the reorganization of the main risk factors; the fifth chapter is the Evaluation of the recognized risk factors; the sixth chapter is Risk Control Method and the last chapter is the conclusion of this paper.The Focus of this paper is:first of all, this paper expounds the related theory of risk management. Secondly, based on the complicated risk factors of Ethiopia NCSC Cement Plant3000t/d EPC Project introduces AHP theory to classify separated risk factors and makes the control method more pertinence.The Innovation of this paper:First, by using questionnaire, according the discussion of several risk management specialists, representatives of NHI and the owners, to get the risk factor weigh weight which is accepted by the customer. This changed the way of get the risk factor weight by using project manager’s experiences and makes the result more realistic. Second, by using Risk judgment matrix, divides the risk factors into high, medium and low levels and makes the risk factors classification more accurate and scientific. Third, treads the risk control process as a dynamic process, supervises the trend of the risk. Uses perfect risk management process to prevent risk grade going up. And changes NHI risk management situation which is used to be fixed and does not pay attention to the risk tracking.更多还原