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政府间转移支付对中国省级区域经济增长的影响效应研究

Study on the Impact of Inter-governmental Transfer Payment on Regional Economic Growth at Provincial Level in China

【作者】 杨涛

【导师】 陈斐;

【作者基本信息】 南昌大学 , 数量经济学, 2014, 硕士

【摘要】 科学的政府间转移支付制度通过中央—地方经济利益的再分配,在实现各地区财力均衡、优化资源配置、缩小区域经济发展差距、促进社会公平等方面具有重要作用。我国于1994年建立了政府间转移支付制度。自此,国内越来越多的研究致力于评估解释转移支付对均衡地区间财力差距,实现地区间基本公共服务能力的均等化和缩小地区间经济发展差距等方面的影响作用,然而结果不尽相同。本文旨在现有的研究基础上,考虑采用多种估计方法,对数据进行适当的处理,检验不同估计方法能否得到相似或相同的结论,以增强政府间转移支付对省级区域经济增长的影响的解释。本文以索罗—斯旺新古典增长模型为依据,构建面板数据模型及其空间形式,采用Driscoll-Kraay法、两步系统广义矩估计法(Two-step System GMM)和空间估计方法,对政府间转移支付在中国省级区域经济增长方面的影响效应进行评估。通过本文的研究,笔者得到:政府间转移支付能够显著促进中国省级区域经济增长,只是影响程度不大;在以中西部地区为主体的欠发达地区,政府间转移支付对经济增长的促进程度要大于全国平均水平;与目前大部分相关研究结果相似,政府间转移支付扩大了地区间经济发展差距,对我国本不大的区域经济收敛速度产生了消极效应。

【Abstract】 Through the redistribution of the central-local economic interests, scientificinter-governmental transfer payment system plays an important role in realizingregional financial balance, optimizing the allocation of resources, narrowing the gapin regional economic development, and promoting social justice, etc. In1994, Chinabegan to establish inter-governmental transfer payment system. Since then, in China,more and more studies devoted to evaluate and explain the effect of transfer paymentson the above aspects. However, the results were different. Based on the existingresearch, this article consider using a variety of estimation methods, do properhandling of the data, then test whether different estimation methods can get similar orthe same results or not, so we can enhance the interpretation of inter-governmentaltransfer payment impact on regional economic growth at the provincial level.According to Solow-Swan neoclassical growth model, this paper build paneldata model and its space form, then we use Driscoll-Kraay method, two-step systemof generalized moment method and spatial estimation method to evaluate the impactof inter-governmental transfer payment on regional economic growth at the provinciallevel. Through the study of this article, the author get following conclusion: Firstly,inter-governmental transfer payment can promote regional economic growthsignificantly, without good growth degree. Secondly, inter-governmental transferpayment can significantly promote the regional economic growth in the lessdeveloped areas where is mainly composed of the Midwest of China, and its growthdegree is greater than the national average. Finally, like the great mass of relevantresearch results at present, it has expanded economic development gap betweenregions, and generate a negative effect on regional economy convergence rate whichis not large essentially in our country.

  • 【网络出版投稿人】 南昌大学
  • 【网络出版年期】2015年 02期
  • 【分类号】F812.45;F124.1
  • 【被引频次】2
  • 【下载频次】195
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