【作者】 张毅；

【导师】 来延肖；

【作者基本信息】 长安大学 ， 结构工程， 2013， 硕士

【摘要】 随着经济全球化的发展，战略风险成为企业全面风险管理的首要风险。论文从战略风险管理过程对国际工程承包企业战略风险管理进行研究，主要研究过程和结论如下：首先，通过对国内外战略风险相关理论进行分析，界定了国际工程承包企业战略风险及风险管理的内涵。在此基础上，从战略实践活动的主体、客体和工具三要素对战略风险进行识别，并将三要素分解为宏观环境、产业环境、企业资源、企业能力和战略管理过程五大方面对战略风险因素进行分析，并借助环境扫描方法建立国际工程承包战略风险识别体系。其次，采用三角模糊数互补判别矩阵的方法进行各风险要素权重的确定，得出各战略风险要素的层次总排序；并采用模糊综合评价的方法对企业战略风险的总体水平进行描述，使企业能够对重要级别战略风险因素和战略风险总体状况有所把握，从而帮助企业有效地实施战略风险管理。再次，论文还从预警的内涵、职能和工作流程三点对国际工程承包战略风险预警进行分析，并提出构建资源、能力、组织、生产和文化柔性的柔性战略来规避国际工程承包战略风险。最后，通过实证分析，验证了国际工程承包战略风险识别体系、评价模型的合理性和实用性，并针对该集团实际情况提出相应的防范措施。论文研究丰富了我国对外承包企业战略风险管理研究，具有一定的理论和实践意义。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the development of economic globalization, strategic risk becomes the primaryrisk of overall corporate risk management. The article studies strategic risk of internationalproject contracting from the process of strategic risk management, the research process andconclusions are as follows:First of all，the article defines the connotation of strategic risk and risk management ofinternational engineering contracting through the research on the related theory of strategicrisk at home and abroad. On this basis, the paper identifies the factors of strategic risk fromthe strategic activities three elements including of subject, object and tools and decomposesthe three elements for five aspects of the macro environment, industrial environment,enterprise resources, enterprise capabilities and strategic management process to analysisthe strategic risk factors, and establishes the identification system of strategy risk ofinternational engineering contracting with the help of environmental scanning method.Secondly, the paper adopts the method of triangular fuzzy number complementarydiscriminant matrix to determine the weighing values of various risk factors on the basis ofrisk identification system and calculates the level of the various factors of strategic risk totalsorts. The paper also uses the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to describe theoverall level of enterprise strategic risk, makes the enterprise grasp the important strategicrisk and strategic risk overall status to help enterprises implement strategic risk managementeffectively.In addition, the article also analyzes the early warning of strategic risk of internationalproject contracting from the connotation, functions and work processes three points of earlywarning, and puts forward the flexible strategy including the flexible of resources,capabilities, organization, production and culture to circumvent the strategic risk ofinternational project contracting.At last, the paper validates the rationality and practicability of the identification systemand the evaluation model of international engineering contracting strategic risk by the empirical analysis and puts forward the corresponding preventive measures according to theactual situation.The study enriches the research of enterprise strategic risk management ofinternational engineering contracting in China and has a certain theoretical and practicalsignificance.更多还原