【作者】 孔洁；

【导师】 刘全林；

【作者基本信息】 安徽理工大学 ， 结构工程， 2008， 硕士

【摘要】 社会的飞速进步,经济的快速建设,要求各行业最大化地实现价值,建设领域作为现代社会发展的基础行业也必须顺应社会发展的要求,用最短的时间和最少的花费实现其使用价值。本文对建设项目管理理论进行概括分析,提出基于模糊数学理论的前期决策理论,建立多层次的模糊综合评判模型,用模糊分布法、最大隶属度原则对非数字化的各因素客观、准确地加以定量和评判,供项目前期决策;提出项目预警系统理论,将系统云(SCGM)理论,马尔柯夫理论加以综合改进,从安全质量、建设成本和施工进度等方面对建设项目实行全过程控制,通过与计划方案的比照,及时控制项目的施工建设发展过程;在此理论基础上建立计算机信息平台,运用计算机程序实现理论模型的智能化,提出有效地理论实施途径。本文研究内容为及时控制项目施工要素,防止项目延期或增加项目花费提供了较好的理论方法和实现手段。考虑到煤矿巷道建设项目的复杂性和代表性,本文以巷道建设为例,说明该理论的应用方法和应用价值,对巷道施工方案进行前期决策,对成本、进度及整体偏差情况进行预测、预警,预测精度较一般的模型有了较大的提高,可直接用于生产建设。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the fast progress of society and economic development, the maximization of value realizing is required in various fields. As the basic industry of modernization, construction field has to meet the requirements as well: to spend the least money and time to realize the maximized utilization value. This paper summarizes and analyzes theories in management of construction projects. It raises the prior period decision-making theory based on fuzzing mathematics, constructs a multilayer fuzzy synthetic model of judgment and uses fuzzy distribution and the biggest membership grade theory to accurately and objectively fix and judge the non-figure factors in help of the prior period decision-making of a project. Meanwhile, project pre-alarm theory is raised from synthesizing and improving SCGM and Markerff Theory. It proposes that a omni distance monitoring should be adopted from safe quality, construction cost and constructing progress in order to control the project development in time by comparing with the plan; that a information platform should be set up, on which the intelligence of computer program theory mode is realized, providing a better theoretical method of timely controlling project progress and cost and avoiding project delay and the increase of cost.In regard to the complexity and representation of coal mine laneway constructions, this paper sets laneway construction as an example to prove the theory’s practical value in prior period decision-making of laneway construction, in forecasting cost, progress and plan deviation with a much higher precision than common models, used in production directly.更多还原