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事故损失的不对称分析

The Asymmetric Analysis of the Accident Loss

【作者】 方丽

【导师】 李森;

【作者基本信息】 北京交通大学 , 安全技术及工程, 2007, 硕士

【摘要】 本文研究的主要内容是分析企业事故损失中存在的信息不对称现象,并归纳出企业事故损失的几种不对称类型,以使企业的事故损失分析更完善,从而提高企业的安全管理水平。首先,介绍了企业事故损失的概况及目前信息经济学的发展状况。企业的事故损失每年都会造成较为严重的人员伤亡和经济损失,所以分析企业的事故损失尤为重要。同时概括了事故损失中存在的信息不对称的内容和研究意义。其次,简述了事故及信息的含义及其分类。事故和事故损失因其本身的特点没有得到统一的界定,本文按照我国《企业职工伤亡事故经济损失统计标准》中的规定来对事故损失进行归类。并且,对信息不对称和信息不完全两个概念进行了区分。再次,概括了信息不对称理论的主要内容及对此进行的数值分析。主要包括信息不对称理论的定义、基本形式、产生的原因和研究信息不对称的意义。总结了X企业内部事故安全信息不对称的二个方面,并提出应用数学逼近中的曲线拟合的最小二乘法定理,对该企业的事故损失中的不对称信息进行实例分析,从而找出之间的关联内容,达到对不对称信息的预测估算,来指导安全工作的顺利进行。最后,总结了本文的观点和结论,并提出了如何减少或消除信息不对称的建议,为企业更深一步的了解事故损失提供参考。

【Abstract】 In this paper the main content is the analysis of the information asymmetry of the accident loss and the several incidents asymmetric types are summed up in order to make better of the analysis of the accident loss. So the level of the safety management can be enhanced.At first, the overview of the accident loss in the enterprise and the development of the current information economics are introduced. The more serious casualties and the economic losses are caused because of the enterprises accident losses every year, therefore, the analysis of the accident loss of the corporate is particularly important. At the same time, the content of the information asymmetry of the accident loss and significance are summarized in the paper.At second, the information and classification of the accident and the message are briefly defined. The accidents and the accident losses because of the nature are not uniformly defined, so the accident losses is classified in light of the statistical standards of the enterprise workers casualties economic losses. Moreover, the two concepts of the asymmetric information and incomplete information are districted.At third, the general theory of the asymmetric information and the numerical analysis are generated. The definition and the basic form and the causes and the significance of the information asymmetry are included. And the two areas of the accident losses asymmetry are summed up and the least squares function approximation statutory grounds is made use to analyze the a company’s accident losses in case of asymmetric information. So the links between content are identified.At last, the views and the conclusions of the paper are summarized and the proposals how to reduce or eliminate the information asymmetry is proposed in order to make the enterprises deeper understand the loss.

【关键词】 企业事故损失信息不对称
【Key words】 enterpriseaccident lossinformationasymmetry
  • 【分类号】X928
  • 【被引频次】3
  • 【下载频次】221
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