【作者】 陈克坚；

【导师】 金腊华；

【作者基本信息】 暨南大学 ， 环境科学， 2006， 硕士

【摘要】 可持续发展已成为区域社会、经济和环境协调发展的最佳模式，正确评价区域可持续发展状态和趋势有赖于科学合理的评价模式和评价指标体系。潮州市属于广东省的欠发达地区，正处于社会经济发展的起步阶段，正确评价其发展现状，找出影响其可持续发展的主要因素并加以控制，将有利于该城市的社会、经济和环境的协调发展。本文在总结国内外有关可持续发展评价指标体系研究现状的基础上，从可持续发展所包括的两个基本方面一“发展”和“可持续性”的角度出发，采用衡量发展指数的“人文发展指数”和衡量可持续性程度的“生态盈余”两个指标，分别构建评价指标体系，并据此对潮州市可持续发展状态和趋势进行了综合评价。文中详细阐述了生态足迹和人文发展指数的计算方法，并针对当前潮州市的人口、资源、环境和经济发展问题进行了具体分析，计算了潮州市的生态足迹和人文发展指数，建立了潮州市可持续发展指标的预测模型，并据此预测了潮州市至2010年的可持续发展趋势。更多还原

【Abstract】 Sustainable development has already been the best developmental model to harmonious development among territorial society, economy and environment. However, based on sound assessment model and index system, territorial sustainable development can be evaluated accurately. Chaozhou belongs to developing region of Guangdong province, and its economics is on the ground of initial stages, evaluating its developmental state accurately, finding out and controlling primary influential factors to economic development, all of which are will good to harmonious development among economy, society and environment. In this paper, based on summarizing both internal and external status quo of studying on sustainable developmental indicator, form two aspects of sustainable development, which are development and sustainable, HDI which is used to weigh development and ecological surplus which is used to weigh the sustainable degree are adopted to build EF and HDI index system respectively. On the basis of these indexes, sustainable developmental state and current of Chaozhou have been evaluated. On the basis of introducing the index systems of ecological footprint and human developmental index, the ecological footprint and human developmental index analysis methods are particularly discussed. Afterward, the writer analyzes the problems of population, resource, environment and economics of Chaozhou, and then ecological footprints and human developmental index of Chaozhou have been calculated, the forecast models of ecological footprint and human developmental indexes have build up. At last, on the basis of these forecast models, sustainable developmental current of Chaozhou as far as 2010 is forecasted.更多还原