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地价与房价的关系与调控机制研究

Research on the Relationship between Land Price and Real Estate Price and Restriction System

【作者】 黄英

【导师】 黄朝禧;

【作者基本信息】 华中农业大学 , 土地资源管理, 2006, 硕士

【副题名】以武汉市为例

【摘要】 地价与房价的关系是争议己久的问题,其研究不仅是房地产市场的基础和源头问题,而且是推进土地市场和房地产市场健康、有序、协调发展的关键。 在市场经济条件下,房地产价格的形成与上涨是由价值规律和市场供求关系决定的,房地产价格上涨归根到底是城市社会经济发展引起房地产市场供求关系变化的结果。本文在从新的角度论述城市地价与房价涵义的基础上,以1998—2004年武汉市土地季度价格指数和房地产季度价格指数为样本,通过协整检验、格兰杰因果关系检验和回归分析,对房价与地价间的影响关系进行了系统分析,以期达到统筹兼顾土地市场和房地产市场,促进各级市场之间良性互动和协同发展的目的。 本文共分七章对以上内容进行分析研究: 第一章主要阐述了选题的意义、国内外研究动态、研究思路和方法及可能创新之处。 第二章主要论述了与地价和房价相关的经济理论。 第三章论述了城市地价和房价的涵义及各自的构成。 第四章论述了地价和房价的影响因素,并分析了近几年武汉市地价和房价的基本走势。 第五章对武汉市房价与地价间的影响关系进行了一系列的计量分析。分析结果表明:武汉市房价与地价之间存在着长期稳定的相关关系,长期房价走势决定地价走势,而短期内两者相互制约。 第六章和第七章提出了武汉市房地产市场的政策调控和制约机制,并对研究结果进行了分析和讨论。

【Abstract】 It is very important to study on the relation between land price and real estate price, since the relation is not only the base of real estate market, but also the focus on accelerating the sustainable development of the real estate market.In market economy, the price of real estate is controlled by value rule and real estate’s supply and demand. The fundamental reason of real estate price’s rising is the flexible changes of real estate’s supply and demand caused by the development of economy. The paper analyses the concepts of land price and real estate price from the brand-new viewpoint, and examines the interaction between land price and real estate price with Co integration relationship test、 Granger Causality test and Regression test given the sample of season price indexes of estate and land from 1998 to 2004,in order to make good use of land market and real estate market.The paper is totally divided into seven chapters:Chapter 1 mainly elaborates the background in and abroad, purpose, meaning, methods and innovation of the research.Chapter 2 is tallying up the related theories of land price and real estate price.Chapter 3 mainly elaborates the concepts and make-up of land price and real estate price.Chapter 4 introduces factors that affect the land price and real estate price, and trend of wuhan.Chapter 5 analyses the relationship between estate price and land price . Through the analysis, the author can draw the conclusion that estate price is the dominant factor of land price in long run while they are explanatory variable of other in short run.Chapter 6 and 7 analyze the regulation countermeasure and restriction of real estate market in wuhan, and the result is evaluated.

  • 【分类号】F293.3;F301
  • 【被引频次】22
  • 【下载频次】1668
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