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货币及金融体系与经济产出关系的实证研究

Empirical Research on the Relation of Money & Financial System and Economic Output

【作者】 杨东亮

【导师】 赵振全;

【作者基本信息】 吉林大学 , 数量经济学, 2006, 硕士

【摘要】 本文在吸收借鉴国内外相关研究成果的基础上,分析我国经济运行和金融体系的实际特征,通过定性与定量研究相结合的方法,对我国产出与金融体系的关系进行了系统的研究。首先,探讨了货币研究的基本问题和理论,对货币供给量与我国产出之间的关系进行了实证研究;其次,对金融体系的构成与经济发展的关系进行研究,并对我国金融体系中的主体,银行和股票市场与我国经济增长之间的关系进行了实证研究;最后,针对经济波动的问题,从金融体系的波动角度进行解释,对我国金融领域中货币供给量波动和股票市场波动与我国固定投资波动和产出波动之间的关系进行实证研究。根据上述的研究结果,提出了我国金融改革和发展的政策建议。

【Abstract】 Macroeconomics main purpose is to understand as fully as possible theeconomic operation of the system, the economic response way to specificeconomic policies, and the various external shocks, from both the demand andsupply, which can cause economic instability,. Research methodology can begenerally summarized as theory, paradigm and research programme ortradition. A mature theory Schools has Hard core, Positive heuristic, Protectivebelt of auxiliary hypotheses. The main research of this paper is the money,financial system and economic fluctuations. Each of them is an importantresearch item and of great significance, especially for financial reform ofChina. For example: whether has money impact on output? How much, if has?What kind of financial system is more conducive to economic growth andcontrol risks? what is the best financial system for China? How to descript thequantitive relationship of China’s economic and financial market volatility, andthe degree and size of the fluctuations shocks? The answer to these issues is ofdistinct benefit to financial reform of China, so is to the research of thedeveloping countries and countries in transition economy.So far, the views, of national economists, on the choice of financial systemhave not been unified. Main argument is the choice of the "bank-dominating"or "market-dominating" financial system. The study way of this paper is thatmainly from perspective of the "money -- output", "Bank and the stock market-- output growth" and "banks and the stock market -- output volatility", buildthe empirical testing model on the past statistical data of China, and make theconclusions, suggestion and reasonable explanations through the analysis ofthe results. The structure of this paper is as follows:PartⅠ, make research on the relationship of money and economic output.Discuss the basis problems on the money research and money theories. Make

【关键词】 货币金融体系经济波动
  • 【网络出版投稿人】 吉林大学
  • 【网络出版年期】2006年 10期
  • 【分类号】F822;F832
  • 【被引频次】1
  • 【下载频次】127
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