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欧盟对华反倾销的实证研究及对策分析

Empirical Study and Countermeasures Analysis for EU’s Antidumping Against China

【作者】 周俐军

【导师】 何元贵;

【作者基本信息】 广东外语外贸大学 , 国际贸易学, 2006, 硕士

【摘要】 随着我国经济的高速发展和对外贸易的迅速扩大,我国与欧盟的经济关系日益密切,双边贸易额显著增长。但是欧盟对华反倾销问题却一直没有明显改善,甚至在我国加入WTO的历史背景下,欧盟并没有放松,反而在一定程度上加强了对华产品的反倾销力度。反倾销问题已经成为阻碍中欧经贸发展的一大障碍,如何有效防止和应对欧盟对我国的反倾销是我们目前需要解决的主要问题。而欧盟作为一个国家集团,对我国的反倾销本身具有一定的特殊性,加之其在我国对外贸易中举足轻重的地位,这就要求我们更深入细致地去研究欧盟对华反倾销问题的方方面面,以期最大程度上弱化反倾销问题对中欧贸易的负面影响。 本文采用结合欧盟对华反倾销政策的演变,分析了欧盟对华反倾销的历史和现实概况,在此基础上对影响欧盟华反倾销的各种因素进行了详细的分析论证。文章借鉴国际上对反倾销问题研究的最新成果,特别是借助计量经济方法在经济问题研究方面的使用,初步探讨和研究了欧盟对我国反倾销问题实证方法和结果,进而建立了欧盟对华反倾销模型。总之,结合实证分析的欧盟对华反倾销方面的研究在理论和现实方面都有积极的意义。 文章在研究欧盟对华反倾销的过程中,除了继承和借鉴以往研究成果所引入的经济因素外,还采用了一些诸如国外直接投资、人民币汇率和产业集中度等概念,这也是本研究区别于国内其他反倾销研究的明显特点所在。在实证分析方面,选取了自1979年至2005年的时间序列数据,借助计量经济手段建立了欧盟对华反倾销模型。计量模型结果表明,我国向欧盟的出口额、国外对华直接投资额都会在一定程度上增加欧盟对中国采取更多的反倾销措施;人民币汇率对欧盟对华反倾销的影响显著:人民币升值,欧盟对我国的反倾销压力减小,反之则反是。 文章在结尾部分探讨了应对欧盟对我国反倾销的策略。主要从政府、行业、企业三个层面展开,分别就如何有效防止反倾销的出现及反倾销不可避免时需要注意的一些问题给出了详细地分析和建议。

【Abstract】 With the rapid development of China’s economy and foreign trade, Sino-EU trade relationship gets closer and closer, trade volume between China and EU countries increases greatly. But EU’s anti-dumping issue against China has not been improved much yet, EU has never loosed its antidumping measures against China, even after China’s entry into WTO, and to some extent, this problem becomes worse than before. The antidumping issue has become a main obstacle to the economic and trade relationship between China and EU countries. It’s imperative that China avoid and cope with antidumping from EU effectively. As a primary trade block, EU plays an important role in the global economy, and EU has become the most important trade partner of China, studying antidumping from EU means a lot to China.This paper studies every aspect of EU’s antidumping to China in detail. It starts with the EU’s antidumping history against China, analyzes different influencing factors for the antidumping issue. The author also applies econometric tool to examine the relationship between economic variables and volume of EU’s antidumping cases against China. Apart from traditional studying method, this paper is characterized by introducing some special variables frequently used by western scholars, including FDI, Exchange Rate and Industrial Concentration.To carry out the research questions and fulfill the aim of the paper, a qualitative and quantitative method has been chosen in order to interpret and understand the factors that effect EU’s antidumping against China. A economic model is setup to measure the explanatory extent of some variables to EU’s antidumping cases again China. The model shows that China’s export to EU countries, exchange rate of RMB against US dollars, and FDI have positive effect to EU’s antidumping against China, among which impact from exchange rate is the most significant. At the end of this paper, some count-measures are given to prevent China from being accused fordumping, some useful tips are also proposed to deal with the antidumping from EU once a antidumping measure is inevitable.This study is based mainly on secondary sources including literature, official documents such as publications from the EU, articles and material from newspapers/internet in the form of document analysis, literature review and existing statistics research. The method of case study is also applied to this study for examining EU’s discriminatory practice against China in the field of antidumping and providing insights and illumination.

【关键词】 欧盟反倾销实证分析对策
【Key words】 EUAntidumpingEmpirical analysisCounter-measures
  • 【分类号】F755
  • 【被引频次】6
  • 【下载频次】1606
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