【作者】 李志伟；

【导师】 程长羽；

【作者基本信息】 河北大学 ， 政治经济学， 2006， 硕士

【摘要】 改革开放以来,中国一直保持了较高的经济增长速度。但从区域经济发展的角度来看差异也在逐渐拉大,其中河北省的经济有了长足的发展,但与东部其他省份相比,经济发展状况并不乐观。本文一方面在西方人力资本理论和经济增长理论的基础上,选取了河北省1978—2004年间物质资本和人力资本的时间序列数据,利用建立在柯布—道格拉斯生产函数基础之上的有效劳动模型和卢卡斯的人力资本外部性模型,对人力资本存量和物质资本存量与河北省经济增长的关系作了实证分析。通过模型剥离出人力资本对经济增长的直接贡献和间接贡献,发现在促进河北省经济增长的各要素中,物质资本的贡献率最高,其后依次是人力资本的贡献率和全要素生产率贡献率。另一方面将河北省人力资本现状与京津地区进行了比较,找出了造成河北省人力资本对经济增长贡献率低的原因。针对分析的结果,文章就人力资本的发展从观念的转变,如何扩大京津的人力资本对河北省的扩散效应以及河北省自身情况等多方面为河北省的经济发展提出了政策建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 Since the implemention of the reform and open policy, high speed of economic growthhas been maintained. Form the point of the development of regional economic, a largerdifference exists. Although developed potentially, compared with other provinces in eastern,the development of economic is not satisfying in Hebei. Based on the theories of westernhuman capital and economic growth, in one hand, the thesis makes empirical research on theinfluence of human capital save quantity and material capital save quantity to economicgrowth in Hebei by choosing data of human capital and material capital between 1978 and2004, making use of C-D Model and Lucis Model. Through the two models, the direct andindirect contribution rate of human capital is peeled off. It is discovered that the contributionrate of material capital is the highest, human capital is higher and total factor productivity isthe lowest in the factors which promote economic growth. In another hand, the reasons for thecontribution rate of human capital low to economic are found, comparing the situation ofhuman resource in Hebei with that in Jing-Jin-Ji.According to the above analysis, the thesis puts forward the suggestions on how toenlarge diffusion effect and how to accelerate economic development.更多还原