【作者】 张毅；

【导师】 卢荣安；

【作者基本信息】 华中农业大学 ， 土地资源管理， 2004， 硕士

【摘要】 自1996年上海开展土地储备工作，成立我国内地第一家土地储备机构以来，土地储备工作在全国取得了迅速的发展，已成为我国土地制度改革的一大热点。几年来，土地储备工作取得了很大的成效，得到了广泛的承认和好评。但是，同时也应看到，由于缺乏科学理论的指导、资金筹措机制不健全以及没有强有力配套体系的支撑，土地储备投资在运作过程中面临着较大的风险。目前，这个问题已得到理论界和各地土地储备机构的广泛关注。 本文首先介绍了土地储备投资风险分析的背景、目的及意义。随后对土地储备投资的风险和规避措施进行了研究，主要探讨了以下几个问题：第一，先分析了我国建立土地储备制度的背景，阐述了其性质和目标定位等问题。接着介绍了风险的含义、特点，引出了土地储备投资风险的含义，分析了它的特征，并提出了对其风险进行分析的一般步骤。第二，从法律背景、财务状况、支撑体系等方面对我国土地储备投资运作过程中的风险因素进行了分析和识别。第三，引入了均值—方差模型和模糊综合评判模型对风险程度进行了测度和评价。第四，首先分析了国外有关国家开展土地储备工作的状况，对其绩效进行了总结和评价，以便对我国完善土地储备制度、有效规避风险提供启示。最后，在上述分析的基础上，并借鉴国外的经验，从理论研究、法制建设、储备机制完善、资金筹措等方面提出了规避风险的措施。更多还原

【Abstract】 Land reservation develop rapidly and become one of popular problem in Chinese land institute reform since shanghai city carried out land reservation and set up the first land -develop center in 1996.in these years, land reservation has achieved marked success, obtains admittance and favorable comment. However, at same time, investing in land reservation faces great risk because of lacking of guidance of scientific theory, imperfect raising-found mechanism and being shorting of the support of necessary system.The paper studies the risk of investing in land reservation and countermeasures how to evade it. And make an inquiry into follow questions: Firstly, the paper analyze the background that Chinese sets up land reservation system, elaborate it’s character and target, then, recommend the meaning and character of risk of investing in land reservation, and put forth the step to analyze risk. Secondly, the paper analyzes and discerns the factor that causes the risk from the background of institution, support system etc. Thirdly, the paper set up the model to measure and appraise the degree of the risk. Fourthly, the paper analyze the situation that foreign carry out land reservation, and organize their merits and defect. Finally, the paper put forth the countermeasure for perfecting Chinese land reservation system and evading the risk from theory-study, institution-structure, found-raising mechanism etc.更多还原