【作者】 周瑞平；

【导师】 赵明；

【作者基本信息】 内蒙古师范大学 ， 人文地理学， 2004， 硕士

【摘要】 本文在阐述城市基准地价内涵，了解国内外对城市基准地价动态变化研究现状的基础上，根据目前呼和浩特市城市土地市场状况及其土地利用现状特征，进行了呼和浩特市城市基准地价水平分析。在考察基准地价变化历史过程基础上，结合呼和浩特市在1993、1998、2001年基准地价评估的实际，为了便于分析和比较，应用GIS手段对不同年份的基准地价图进行叠加分析，获得在以2001年为基期的同一级别界线下的基准地价，对基准地价内部结构比率的变动(包括同级各类地价比率指数变化、同类各级地价比率指数变化、同级各类地价环比指数变化、同类各级地价环比指数变化)进行了比较和分析，探讨了基准地价变化的内在机理。 同时从两个角度阐述了基准地价的变化，一个是地块一定的情况下，基准地价的变化，即：对1993、1998、2001年的分类地价均值变化、分级地价均值变化；另一个是地价一定的情况下，地块面积的变化。即：地价一定的情况下，对商业、住宅、工业土地面积的大小及其变化速率进行了分析。 文中选取了15个影响基准地价变化的因素，应用主成分分析方法对影响呼和浩特市城市基准地价变化的基本因素进行了分析，揭示了引起基准地价动态变化的主要内在驱动因子；应用灰色预测模型，对呼和浩特市城市基准地价发展变化趋势及其在未来十年内的空间分布状况做出预测。更多还原

【Abstract】 On the basis of learning of research on dynamic changing of urban datum price home and abroad, of characteristic of market and utilization of urban land in Huhhot at present ,this paper explicates implication of datum price and analyzes datum price standard of urban land in Huhhot.In the course of exploiting history of city datum price, I combine with the practice of datum price estimation of urban land in Huhhot in 1993,1998,and 2001.For the sake of analysis and contrast easily ,the two of city datum price maps of three periods are overlaid by applying the means of GIS. I gain datum price which grade lines of 2001 year are regarded as a criterion. At the same time, I analyze the rate dynamic change of inner structure of datum price, including of the index of datum price and the circulating rate which is the same grade and different classifications or different grades and the same classification in 1993, 1998, and 2001.Besides, I explicate the change in two different perspectives. One is that the average values of different sorts or different grades take change when land is unchanging; another is that land area takes change when datum price is unchanging. In other words, it is analyzed how change is in land area and changing velocity of commerce, residence, industry.In this paper I choose fifteen factors to analyze their influence on datum price by applying the method of Principal Component Analysis. The inner action is seen. The urban datum price in Huhhot is forecasted in the future ten years by grey predictive model.更多还原