【作者】 吴老二；

【导师】 高炳华；

【作者基本信息】 华中师范大学 ， 区域经济学， 2004， 硕士

【摘要】 回顾改革开放以来我国房地产业发展的经验教训，建立有效的宏观调控体系，保证房地产业健康而协调发展，一直是我国理论界研究的课题、政府的工作目标。为此我国付出过巨大的代价，也初步摸索和建立了一系列的制度和措施。 随着近年来我国出现房地产泡沫呼声的又一次上升，我国政府出台了众多的房地产宏观调控措施如控制土地供应、严格银行资金投入、进行房地产法规执法检查等试图来给已经过热的房地产市场降温。然而，由于我国传统房地产宏观调控理论自身的缺陷：一方面我国的房地产宏观调控体系从理论上看近似完美，但仅注重日常化的管理，不太适应房地产行业出现紧急状态时的调控需要；另一方面我国的房地产宏观调控理论从操作上看可操作性严重欠佳，导致政府在房地产危机出现时无所适从，“胡子眉毛一把抓”。其后果是每当房地产泡沫呼声响起，政府就祭起土地、金融、法规等三面大旗，造成的后果是虽然暂时成功的消除了房地产泡沫，但对国民经济的冲击显而易见，一定程度上对国民经济增长造成了不应有的伤害，另一方面对地方政府，房地产开发商而言也产生了“狼来了”的现象，久而久之，降低了中央政府的宏观调控力度，我国一度出现了“紧急通知”比法律法规管用的现象。 因此在当前我国房地产业泡沫呼声渐高的时候实施更具有预警性和可操作性的反周期理论无疑是最优选择。然而，由于我国房地产业自身的缺点限制、管理体制不足、金融运作体制制约、法律意识淡薄等问题的制约，宏观调控的效果会大打折扣。只有解决了上述问题，宏观调控才会凑效。 本文基于此，从我国房地产业宏观调控存在的问题着手，对我国房地产业宏观调控政策进行实证分析，重点分析我国房地产业宏观调控政策选择的难点，在文章最后给出完善我国房地产业宏观调控政策选择的建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 Reviewing the lessons and experience of development of real estate of our country since our country’s reform-and-open-up policy, to set up effective macro adjustments and controls system, guaranteeing that the real estate develops in harmony, has been the goal of our government’s research all the time. Although we paid the enormous cost for this, we have set up a series of system and measures. As another rising of the voice of foam of the real estate industry in our country inrecent years, our government has issued numerous real estate macro adjustments and controls measures such as controlling the land supply, restricting the input of the bank funds, and censoring real estate regulation so as to cool down the overheated real estate market. However, because of the shortcoming of traditional theory of the real estate macro adjustments and controls of our country, they are on one hand perfect theoretically, which only pay attention to the daily management so that they do not meet the demand of regulation and control need when the real estate trade presents the state of emergency; on the other hand the theory of Real estate macro adjustments and controls of our country watch effectiveness seriously but not good enough to be operated, causing the government to be at a loss as to what to do when the crisis of the real estate appears, " the moustache eyebrow tackles all problems at once ". Its consequence is that whenever the foam voice of the real estate sounds, the government holds a memorial ceremony for three big flags, such as land, finance, regulation, etc., the elimination real estate foam that it is successful that the consequence caused is, the impact to national economy is obvious, have caused the unnecessary injury to the national economic growth to a certain extent, on the other hand to local, government, real estate developer produced the phenomenon that " the wolf has come " too, as time passes, having reduced the macro adjustments and controls dynamics of the central government, the phenomenon that" notifies means more than the law " has appeared for a time in our country.It is undoubtedly an optimum to choose the anti-cycle policy when hearing the voice of foam in real estate of our country higher and higher in present. Because of the restrain of the shortcoming of the real estate in our country, such as the insufficiency of management system, restrict of financial operation system, lack of legal consciousness etc, it will give a great discount in the result of macro adjustments and controls. Only having solved above-mentioned problems, macro adjustments and controls can work.This text sets about from the existing problems of macro adjustments and controls of real estate of our country, carry on real example analyze to of our country real estate macro adjustment and control policy, analyze of our country real estate difficult point that macro adjustment and control policy choose especially, provide and perfect the suggestion that chooses of macro adjustment and control policy of real estate of our country finally in the article.更多还原