【作者】 陈洪灿；

【导师】 黄敬前；

【作者基本信息】 福州大学 ， 管理科学与工程， 2004， 硕士

【摘要】 本文是在研究财政收入体系与宏观经济变量间相互依存关系的基础上，采用定性定量相结合的方法，对“九五”期间福建省财政收入结构及其运行特点系统分析，借鉴前人研究成果，综合运用相关的财政学经济学理论、计量经济学方法以及计算机统计软件，建立了福建省财政收入计量模型；用所建立的模型预测分析“十五”期间福建省财政收入主要指标的运行轨迹、变化规律及其它们之间的因果关系，展望它们发展趋势。本文的研究希图为政府部门制定与选择宏观政策与发展计划提供决策参考，为研制财政收入计量模型的同行起到抛砖引玉作用。更多还原

【Abstract】 On the basis of research on correlative relation between the system of financial revenue and the variables of macroeconomy, combining qualitative analysis with quantitative analysis, systematically analyzing financial revenue structure and running feature of Fujian Province during "the Ninth Five-years Plan of the National Economic and Society Development", using research achievement of the formers for reference, synthetically using financial and economic theory、econometric way and means and computer statistical software, the text set up the financial revenue metric model in Fujian Province. Moreover, exercising our established model, the text forecast and analyzed the circulating track、the changing rule and the causality of the primary variable of financial revenue in Fujian Province, and prospected for their development. Wish the research of this text have certain practical-use on the making and choice of macro policy and developing project in the government. Wish the research would be used as a reference for our colleagues studying financial revenue metric model.更多还原