【作者】 刘建梅；

【导师】 何俊仕； 王在兴；

【作者基本信息】 沈阳农业大学 ， 农业水土工程， 2002， 硕士

【摘要】 防洪决策支持系统(Flood Control Decision Support System，FCDSS)研究是一个正在发展、十分活跃的领域，从实时洪水预报系统过渡到防洪决策支持系统是当前的发展趋势，国外许多国家正竞相开展此类的研究工作，但目前该类研究仍处于针对系统开发中的关键技术进行探索，并在中小河流流域试验开发的阶段。在我国，许多水库也已经相继研究开发了此类防洪决策支持软件，如长江防洪决策支持系统、黄河防汛防凌决策支持系统等，但在东北地区应用较少，并且在大伙房水库流域建设防洪决策支持系统尚属首次。 大伙房水库是一座以防洪、供水为主，同时兼顾养鱼、发电等功能的综合利用水库，已有的大伙房水库防洪调度软件主要是进行大伙房水库的洪水预报及调度方案的生成，因此有必要建立一套方便快捷、合理高效、功能齐全的大伙房水库防洪决策支持系统，将有关防洪调度的知识和方法结合考虑，以辅助决策者进行决策。 本课题主要是在对国内外同类软件进行了大量的对比和分析后，研究了大伙房水库的防洪决策支持系统的设计和建立，选用了决策支持系统理论和大系统优化理论作为本系统建立的基础理论依据，并且深入研究了大伙房流域产、汇流模型，在以往的理论研究和经验知识的基础上，建立了集洪水预报、防洪调度、信息查询等多功能的大伙房水库防洪决策支持系统。其中的洪水预报与防洪调度部分主要是采用了已知的预报和调度规则，根据决策者或工作人员的操作习惯开发了界面友好、实用性强的计算机程序，并且将数据库内容和结构进行了调整，使其进一步完善和优化；建立了知识库、信息查询、帮助等子系统，将大量的零散的知识、信息等组合起来统一管理，方便用户进行了解和应用。该系统是一个规模庞大、功能复杂、交互式的大系统，具有极大的实用性和可靠性。更多还原

【Abstract】 The research of Flood Control Decision Support System (FCDSS) is a fast-developing and active scientific field. It is the trend from real-time flood forecasting to Flood Control Decision Support System. Many countries are doing this study now. But what researchers concern most are still the key techniques in developing the system at present and it is in the stage of attempting. In China, many reservoirs have had this kind of software such as Chang Jiang River FCDSS with flood control decision support system theory. But it is the first time to construct the FCDSS for DaHuoFang water basin.The functions of the software used by DaHuoFang reservoir at present consist of flood control forecasting and making dispatching scheme. The DaHuoFang reservoir is used mainly to supply the irrigation, flood control for ShenYang and FuShun. Besides, it can serve for fish fed and generating electricity. So it is important and necessary to set up a suit of FCDSS for DaHuoFang reservoir to make the reservoir to be more efficient and convenient.In this dissertation, the author developed the FCDSS for DaHuoFang Reservoir by using the Decision Support System and Huge System Optimization Theory according to the DHF model and some rules. It consists of so many functions such as information inquiring, report printing, help system for DaHuoFang Reservoir. It can help the missionary to make decision rapidly and exactly. The FCDSS for DaHuoFang Reservoir is a huge scale, complex and mutual system which is practical and reliable.更多还原