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关于入世后我国轿车工业发展道路的思考

The Thinking about the Development Route of Chinese Automobile Industry after Entering WTO

【作者】 廖燕

【导师】 康灿华;

【作者基本信息】 武汉理工大学 , 国际贸易, 2002, 硕士

【摘要】 本文在第一章中,首先阐明了新经济时代世界轿车工业和我国轿车工业 的特点,然后对二者的强势与劣势进行了比较。得出结论:目前的竞争中, 我方处于明显劣势。 在第二章中,文章主要从关税、非关税保护措施、外方投资项目管理、 服务贸易四个方面介绍了入世后WTO的有关规定,并分析了入世给我国轿 车工业所带来的机遇和挑战。得出的结论:入世后,我国轿车工业要么会被 冲击得荡然无存,沦为国外跨国企业在中国设立的加工装配点;要么在冲击 得面目全非之后产生出一家或几家能与国际跨国企业相抗衡的特大企业。两 相比较,前一种可能性更大,但也不能放弃对后一种的希望。 在第三章中,文章主要预测了入世后世界主要轿车生产厂家可能实施的 战略。结论是:入世后,世界主要轿车生产厂家不会放弃“出口战略”;但 从长远来看,又不会放弃已在中国投资的轿车生产企业。 在上述分析的基础上,本文在第四章确定了入世后我国轿车工业“以特 大企业为主,兼顾合资企业”这条跨越式发展道路。 在本章中,首先讨论了确定发展道路之前应解决的四个关键热点问题: 轿车工业在我国国民经济中的地位问题;是否放弃整车业,而将注意力集中 在零部件生产上;是否放手让中国的轿车工业参与世界分工;合资或合作企 业中的股比限制问题。在此基础上,得出了入世后我国轿车工业发展道路的 雏形,即:政府对我国轿车工业实行宏观保护,不放弃合资企业中中方的控 股权,大力发展整车生产,积极参与国际竞争,充分发挥轿车工业在我国国 民经济中的支柱之支柱地位。这就要求我们必须有能跟国际知名企业相抗衡 的大企业,由此得出结论:在入世后我国轿车工业的发展道路中,应以“以 特大企业为主”。 关于特大企业,文章主要考虑了以下几个基本问题:培育手段;资本构 成;市场定位;主流车型;与国内各轿车合资企业的关系。 “兼顾合资企业”这个问题,因是兼顾,本文未重点讨论,只是分析了 为什么要兼顾,并提出发展合资企业的个人观点:特大企业与合资企业,二 者并举。以特大企业为主,兼顾合资企业的发展。政府应给予合资企业更少 的约束,放手让其发展,使之成为促进我国特大企业发展的竞争对手。 在最后一章即第五章中,文章主要从政府、轿车生产整车企业及零部 件企业、配套体系这三个方面探讨了如何走好“以特大企业为主,兼顾合资 企业”这条跨越式发展道路的问题。

【Abstract】 In the first chapter,the article firstly elaborates the characteristics of international car-manufacturing industry and our country’s car-manufacturing industry. By contrst,the article analyses the advantages and disadvantages of both. Then,the conclusion is made:in the current situation,our country’s car-manufacturing industry has obvious disadvantages in the competition.In the second chapter,the article introduces the rules of WTO from the following aspects:tariff,non-tariff protection measurements,foreign investment projects management and service trade. On this foundation,the article analyses the chances and challenges brought by entering WTO. The conclusions is that entering WTO will bring two possible results to our country’s car-manufacturing industry:the one is that our country’s industry will be affected greatly and become the production and assembly sites of international corporations;the other is that only one or several supermacro-corporations that can match with the international corporations will be left. Comparatively speaking,the possibility of the former is much greater. But we can not give up the latter.In the third chapter,the article mainly forecasts the possible strategies of the main car-manufacturing enterprises. The following conclusions are made:After entering WTO,the main car-manufacturing enterprises will not give up the exportation strategy. But in the long run,they will not give up their investment in China.Based on the analysis of above issues,the article points out the development road of paying more attentions to supermacro-corporations while considering joint- ventures at the same time in the fourth chapter.In this chapter,the article first analyses the following key heated issues that should be solved before making the development road :the standing of car-manufacturing industry in the national economy;the option between whole car-manufacturing industry and parts-manufacturing industry;the option of our car-manufacturing industry attending the international labor-division;the limitation of stock proportion in the joint- ventures or in the cooperative enterprises. So,the outline of the development road of our country’s car-manufacturing industry after entering WTO is made,that is,government should protect the car-manufacturing industry macroscopicly;the controling of stock should not be 100sen in the joint- ventures;the whole car production should be paid more attentions;our car-manufacturing industry should attend theinternational competition;the car-manufacturing industry should play the most important role in the national economy sufficiently. Then,the article draws a conclusion that we must have the large enterprises that can match with international enterprises in order to preserve and develop our country’s car-manufacturing industry.There are following issues concerned on supermacro-corporations:training means;capital structure;market orientation;mainstream car design;the relation with the car joint- ventures.On the issue of paying additional considerations to joint-ventures,the article does not discuss much because it is not the main problem. The article only analyses the reason why joint-ventures should be considered simultaneously and raises the personal point of developing joint-ventures,that is ,on the problem of handling the relationship of supermacro-corporations and joint-ventures,we should consider both at the same time.Supermacro-corporations should be given more considerations and joint-ventures should be given less restrictions .The government can allow joint-ventucrs develop freely and make them the competition opponents of Supermacro-corporations.In the last chapter,that is,the fifth chapter,the article discusses the striding development road of paying more attentions to large enterprises and additional considerations to joint-ventures from the three following aspects:government,the whole and car parts-producing enterprises and mating systems.

  • 【分类号】F426.471
  • 【被引频次】1
  • 【下载频次】133
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