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从“被动依赖”到“主动参与”:日本核政策的危险转向

From “Passive Dependence” to “Active Participation”: The Dangerous Shift in Japan’s Nuclear Policy

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【作者】 黄大慧张勇尹晓亮

【Author】 HUANG Dahui;ZHANG Yong;YIN Xiaoliang;

【机构】 中国人民大学国际关系学院中国社会科学院日本研究所外交研究室南开大学日本研究院

【摘要】 二战后日本核政策长期在“和平主义”与“安全需求”之间摇摆,一方面奉行“无核三原则”并加入《不扩散核武器条约》,另一方面通过日美“核密约”依赖美国核保护伞,形成“显教”与“密教”并存的矛盾结构。进入21世纪,受所谓朝鲜“核威胁”、美国“延伸威慑”相对弱化及右翼势力日益膨胀等因素的影响,日本核政策正从“被动依赖”转向“主动参与”。当前,以高市早苗政权为代表的保守势力试图修改“无核三原则”,特别是其中的“不运进”原则,推动“核共享”甚至“自主拥核”讨论,并借修订“安保三文件”深化日美核合作。与此同时,日本国内反核力量弱化,“和平主义”思潮相对衰退。日本核政策的危险转向,不仅背离其“唯一被爆国”的历史立场,更对东亚安全秩序和全球核不扩散体系构成严峻挑战。

【Abstract】 After the second world war, Japan’s nuclear policy has long oscillated between so-called “pacifism” and actual “security needs”. On one hand, it has adhered to the“Three Non-Nuclear Principles” and joined the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons(NPT). on the other, it has also relied on the U.S. nuclear umbrella via the Japan-U.S.“secret agreements” creating a contradictory structure, in which“exoteric” pacifism and “esoteric” dependence of US nuclear protection coexist.Among the 21 st century, influenced by factors such as the so-called “nuclear threat”from DPRK, the relative weakening of U. S. extended deterrence, and the ever-increased influence of right-wings, Japan’s nuclear policy has been shifting from“passive dependence” to “active participation.” At present, hyper-conservatives represented by the Sanae Takaichi administration are attempting to challenge the“Three Non-Nuclear Principles,” particularly the “not permitting the introduction of nuclear weapons” clause, whereas promotes discussions on “nuclear sharing” and even advocates “independent nuclear armament.” Likewise, they are deepening Japan-U. S. nuclear cooperation through the revision of the “Three Security Documents.” Meanwhile, domestic anti-nuclear groups in Japan have weakened, and pacifist sentiment has relatively declined. This dangerous shift in Japan’s nuclear policy not only deviates from its historical position namely “sole country suffered atomic bombings”, but also poses a serious challenge to the East Asian security order and the global nuclear non-proliferation configuration.

  • 【文献出处】 东北亚学刊 ,Journal of Northeast Asia Studies , 编辑部邮箱 ,2026年02期
  • 【分类号】D815.2;D831.3
  • 【下载频次】66
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