【摘要】 本研究基于韧性理论，整合国土空间规划与灾害系统论，突破传统防灾模式的静态局限，为城市综合风险治理提供坚实的理论基础与实践指导。以滁州市为例，在相关法律法规及标准文件的指导下，构建主要灾害辨识指标体系，并通过专家咨询和深度访谈等方法，构建城市防灾减灾能力评估指标体系，采用层次分析法对各级指标权重进行计算。研究结果表明：滁州市主要面临水旱灾害、气象灾害、地震灾害、地质灾害以及火灾等威胁。总体而言，滁州市防灾减灾能力良好，但宣教培训能力、评估与改进等方面仍存在提升空间；同时，防灾设施水平、统筹管理能力以及救助补偿能力有待加强，而风险防控和信息监测能力表现较好。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on resilience theory, this study integrates territorial spatial planning with disaster system theory, overcoming the static limitations inherent in conventional disaster prevention frameworks to provide a solid theoretical foundation and practical guidance for comprehensive urban risk governance. Using Chuzhou City as a case study, we constructed a hazard identification indicator system guided by relevant legal statutes and technical standards. Through expert consultations and in-depth interviews, an urban disaster prevention and mitigation capacity evaluation framework was established, with the analytic hierarchy process(AHP) employed to calculate indicator weights across hierarchical levels. Research findings reveal that Chuzhou City primarily faces threats from hydrometeorological hazards, meteorological extremes, seismic activities, geological hazards, and fire incidents. Overall, while the city demonstrates competent disaster prevention and mitigation capabilities, it still has room for improvement in public education/training and evaluation/improvement mechanisms. Meanwhile, disaster prevention infrastructure, integrated management capabilities, and compensation mechanisms need to be strengthened, while risk prevention controls and information monitoring systems demonstrate comparatively robust functionality.更多还原