【摘要】 建筑卫生陶瓷行业属于能源和碳排放密集型产业，是建材行业中碳排放重点行业之一。本文分析了2010～2022年民用建筑竣工面积和建筑卫生陶瓷产量数据，分别对建筑陶瓷-竣工面积和卫生陶瓷-竣工面积进行线性拟合，结合对未来民用建筑竣工面积的情景分析，预测2023～2040年建筑卫生陶瓷需求量，进而预测碳排放情况。更多还原

【Abstract】 The building and sanitary ceramics industry is an energy and carbon emission intensive industry, and is one of the key carbon emission industries in the building materials industry. This paper analyzes the data on the completed area of civil buildings and the output of building and sanitary ceramics from 2010 to 2022, and performs linear fitting on the completed area of building ceramics and sanitary ceramics, respectively.Combining with scenario analysis of the completed area of future civil buildings, it forecasts the demand for building and sanitary ceramics from2023 to 2040, and then predicts carbon emissions.更多还原