【摘要】 [目的]本文通过分析河南省及各地(市)的牛饲养潜力，为牛养殖业合理规划布局，推动种养循环和农业高质量发展提供参考。[方法]以土地生态承载力、秸秆资源量等为基础，研究分析了河南省各地(市)的饲养量潜力和增量潜力。[结果]基于土地生态承载力、年可收集利用的秸秆资源量因素，河南省牛年饲养量潜力分别达5235.85、1907.81万头，分别有4597.96、1269.95万头的增量空间；其中南阳、周口、驻马店、新乡、商丘、信阳分别有588.77、577.32、552.90、335.18、435.97、395.86万头和107.74、203.27、136.05、103.43、134.93、140.84万头牛增量空间；郑州、开封、洛阳、平顶山、安阳、焦作、濮阳、许昌、漯河、鹤壁、济源分别有136.15、212.37、174.78、192.07、268.41、124.44、181.77、167.54、110.77、80.78、15.88万头和29.16、44.93、15.78、29.60、91.51、41.61、67.22、56.89、44.42、27.39、1.40万头牛增量空间。[结论]总之，河南省发展牛养殖业秸秆资源富足，饲养量潜力和增量潜力大；应加强政策引导和区域差异化养殖模式的研究，促进种养循环高质量发展。更多还原

【Abstract】 [Objective] In this manuscript, cattle’s potential capacity in Henan province was analyzed so as to provide conference to design the suitable cattle’s feeding industry and improve the cycle between crop planting and animal husbandry and development of high quality.[Methods] Based on the total straw resources and ecological carrying capacity, the potential capacity of cattle’s feeding number and its increasing number within each city(or region)in Henan province were studied. [Results]The results showed that cattle’s feeding numbers were to 52.36,19.08 millions heads based on the Ecological Carrying Capacity methods(ECCM)and the total crop straw resources for collecting and using(TCSR) respectively and also the increased potential capacity of cattle’s feeding numbers were to 45.98,12.70 millions heads, respectively; Moreover, the increased potential capacity of cattle’s feeding number of Nanyang, Zhoukou, Zhuma’dian, Xinxiang, Shangqi, Xinyang were to5.89,5.77,5.53,3.35,4.36,3.96 millions heads based on ECCM respectively and 1.08,2.03,1.36、1.03,1.35,1.41 millions heads respectively based on TCSR. However, the increased potential capacity of cattle’s feeding number of Zhengzhou, Pingding’shan, Anyang, Jiaozuo, Puyang, Xuchang, Luohe, Hebi, Jiyuan were to 1.36,2.12,1.75,1.92, 2.68, 1.24, 1.82, 1.68,1.11,0.81,0.16 millions heads based on ECCM respectively and 291.6,449.3,157.8,296.0,915.1, 416.1,672.2, 568.9, 444.2, 273.9, 14.0 thousands heads based on TCSR, respectively.[Conclusions] In summary, it have plenty of crop straw resources on developing cattle’s feeding in Henan province, and also have the huge potential capacity of cattle’s feeding number and potential increased capacity. Moreover, it should intensifying research on policy and feeding patterns for regional difference so as to improve the development of high quality to cycle between the crop planting and animal husbandry.更多还原