【摘要】 应急物资保障能力建设是应急管理成功的关键,然而,在应急管理实践中,影响和制约应急物资保障能力的关键因素往往难以识别。为此,本文提出基于混合型决策的应急物资保障能力关键因素识别方法。该方法在构建应急物资保障能力影响因素语言初始直接关联矩阵基础上,根据专家个人偏好的语义转化方式,建立实数、区间数和三角模糊数的评价矩阵,然后采用二元语义信息处理进行集结,进而通过DEMATEL方法的处理,有效的识别出应急物资保障能力的关键因素。应急管理实践的案例检验了本识别方法的可行性和可靠性,也证明了本方法在应急管理中的广泛应用价值。更多还原

【Abstract】 Emergency supplies support capacity building is the key to the success of emergency management,but the key factors affecting and restricting the emergency supplies support capacity are often difficult to identify in the practice of emergency management. The paper puts forward an identification method of the emergency material support ability based on hybrid decision factor. On the basis of constructing the initial direct correlation matrix of influencing factors of emergency material support capability,the real number,the interval number and the triangular fuzzy number of evaluation matrix are built according to semantic transformation method of experts’ personal preference. Then,2-tuple information processing is adopted for aggregation,and DEMATEL method can be used to effectively identify the key influencing factors of emergency supplies support capability. The feasibility and reliability of the identification method are tested by the case of emergency management,which proves the extensive application value of the method in emergency management.更多还原