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金昌市城市化与就业结构演变的计量分析

Urbanization and Employment Structure Change in Jinchang: Quantitative Analysis

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【作者】 王雪平张杰

【Author】 Wang Xueping;Zhang Jie;College of Geography and Environment Science, Northwest Normal University;

【机构】 西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院

【摘要】 基于甘肃省金昌市1981—2015年的经济统计数据,通过OLS回归模型、Granger因果检验、脉冲响应函数等方法定量、定性分析了金昌市的城市化水平与就业结构之间的关系,结果表明:(1)城市化进程与三次产业就业结构的演变具有阶段性:初步发展阶段、波动探索阶段、快速发展阶段;(2)金昌市的城市化水平与第三产业就业结构呈现正向的脉冲关系,而与第一、第二产业就业结构为负向脉冲关系;(3)金昌市的城市化水平处于快速发展阶段,就业结构以二、三产业为主。

【Abstract】 Using the OLS regression model, Granger causality test, impulse response function, this paperanalyzed the relationship between urbanization level and employment structure in Jinchang, Gansu based onthe economic statistical data from 1981 to 2015. The results show that:(1) the process of urbanization andemployment structure of the three industries have three phases: the primary stage of development; thefluctuation development stage and the rapid development stage;(2) the urbanization level of Jinchang haspositive pulse relationship with the urbanization development structure of the tertiary industry, however, it hasnegative pulse relationship with the employment structure of the primary and the secondary industries;(3) theurbanization development of Jinchang is in the rapid development stage, and the employment structure isdominated by the secondary and the tertiary industries.

  • 【文献出处】 中国农学通报 ,Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin , 编辑部邮箱 ,2018年02期
  • 【分类号】F249.27;F299.27
  • 【下载频次】103
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