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用期距法预测松墨天牛成虫发生期
Forecasting occurrence periods of Monochamus alternatus with periodic distance methods
【摘要】 为准确掌握林间松墨天牛成虫各发生期的发生时间,根据3个诱捕点2006—2010年5 a的诱捕资料,运用数理统计方法,分别计算各诱捕点林间松墨天牛成虫的理论期距值和平均数标准差,准确地预测出各诱捕点2011年松墨天牛成虫的始盛期、高峰期和盛末期,为确定松墨天牛的最佳防治时间提供依据。
【Abstract】 Based on 5 years’(2006-2010) systematic observation data of Monochamus alternatus adult at 3 trapping sites,the theoretical periodic distance value and standard deviation of different adult occurring stages were calculated with statistics methods and the initial peak stage,peak stage and end of peak stage at different sites in 2011 were predicted accurately,which might provide basis for the determination of the optimum control time of M.alternatus adult.
【关键词】 松墨天牛;
期距法;
标准差;
预测预报;
【Key words】 Monochamus alternatus; periodic distance method; standard deviation; forecast;
【Key words】 Monochamus alternatus; periodic distance method; standard deviation; forecast;
- 【文献出处】 中国森林病虫 ,Forest Pest and Disease , 编辑部邮箱 ,2013年02期
- 【分类号】S763.38
- 【被引频次】2
- 【下载频次】126