【摘要】 世界经济周期问题一直是学术界研究的研究热点问题之一,并已经形成了各种理论。将世界经济周期理论划分为实体经济因素分析和虚拟经济因素分析两大类,从实体经济因素的角度归纳出世界经济周期的6种关键诱因,分别是投资过度、需求不足、生产成本变化、技术革新、农业收获波动和房地产市场变动等;从虚拟经济因素的角度归纳出世界经济周期的4种关键诱因,分别是货币流动量变动、信用扩张收缩变化、负债过度和心理与预期因素等。在理论梳理基础上,发掘其中的政策含义。更多还原

【Abstract】 The world economic cycle is always one of the hottest topics in academic fields,and a variety of theories have been formed. Based on theoretical analysis on the world economic cycle,this essay categorizes the world economic cycle theories into two branches,one is real economic factors based theories which consists of six main theories,and the other is fictitious economic factor-based theories including four main theories. Through this study,we explore some implications of policies.更多还原