【摘要】 运用马尔萨斯模型和回归分析方法,根据《新疆生产建设兵团统计年鉴》统计数据,对石河子垦区2012～2030年的人口发展规模进行预测。预测结果为:到2020年石河子垦区人口达到62.247 6万,到2030年人口达到65.443 6万,随着人口的发展,石河子垦区矿产资源将面临轻微的短缺,水资源将面临严重短缺。更多还原

【Abstract】 The development scale of population in Shihezi reclamation during 2012- 2030 was predicted by using the method of Malthusian model and regression analysis according to Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps Statistical Yearbook. The results showed that the population will up to 622 476 in 2020 and 654 436 in 2030. With the growth of population,mineral resource exists a slight shortage and water resource exists critical shortage in Shihezi reclamation.更多还原