【摘要】 [目的]研究河北省冬麦北移决策支持系统(Decision Support System for"Northing of Winter Wheat"in Hebei,DSSNWWH),为提高农业系统决策的科学性和信息化程度提供方法。[方法]介绍了河北省冬麦北移决策支持系统的功能、开发流程、运行向导以及输入输出方式,并对该系统的相关预测结果进行了实际验证。[结果]该研究建立的决策支持系统可以在以往气象数据或当地气象预报的基础上,对某一冬小麦品种在河北省北部某一地区能否安全越冬及其生长发育状况进行预测,并给出相应的栽培管理措施,用户可根据预测结果来判断该品种在这一地区能否种植。[结论]该研究建立的DSSNWWH可有效地辅助决策者进行决策,为冬小麦的北移提供科学的指导。更多还原

【Abstract】 [Objective] This study was to provide methods to improve the scientificity and informatization level of agricultural decision-making system based on the study of Decision Support System for "Northing of Winter Wheat" in Hebei Province(DSSNWWH).[Method] The functions,development process,operation guidance as well as the input and output modes of DSSNWWH were introduced,and the simulated results of the system were verified by comparing with the actual situations.[Result] The decision support system established in this study could predict whether a wheat variety could live through the winter in a certain area of northern Hebei Province,as well as the growth conditions based on the previous meteorological data or local weather forecast,and provided corresponding cultivation and management measures,making it possible for the user to determine whether the variety could be planted in the region based on the predictions.[Conclusion] The established DSSNWWH in this study could effectively help decision makers make decisions,providing scientific instructions for the northing of winter wheat.更多还原