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基于遗传算法的模糊优选BP网络的冰凌预报模型

Fuzzy Optimization BP Neural Network Model Based on Genetic Algorithm for Ice Forecasting

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【作者】 冀鸿兰朝伦巴根陈守煜

【Author】 JI Hong-lan1,CHAOLUN Ba-gen1,CHEN Shou-yu2(1.School of Hydraulic and Civil Engineering,Inner Mongolia Agricultural University,Hohhot 010018,China;2.School of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116024,China)

【机构】 内蒙古农业大学水利与土木建筑工程学院大连理工大学土木水利学院

【摘要】 黄河内蒙段地处黄河流域最北端,由于它的特殊地理位置、水文气象条件、河道特性,几乎每年产生凌汛。应用基于遗传算法的模糊优选BP网络模型,对黄河内蒙段封河、开河日期进行预报。结果表明,该模型既能合理地构造神经网络的拓扑结构,又可加快网络的收敛速度,并能改善网络的全局寻优能力。

【Abstract】 Inner Mongolia reach lies in the north of the Yellow River.Every year ice flood arises from its special geographical position,hydro-meteorological conditions and river course characteristics.In this paper,fuzzy optimization BP neural networks model based on genetic algorithm is used to forecast the freeze-up and break-up date in the Inner Mongolia reach of the Yellow River.The results show that it can not only build reasonable topology structure,accelerate the convergence speed but also improve global optimum-seeking.

【基金】 国家自然科学基金项目(59979008)
  • 【文献出处】 中国农村水利水电 ,China Rural Water and Hydropower , 编辑部邮箱 ,2009年01期
  • 【分类号】P338
  • 【被引频次】14
  • 【下载频次】246
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