【摘要】 城市道路交通可靠性是铁路客运站最高聚集人数的重要影响因素,为了定量衡量城市交通可靠性对铁路客运站最高聚集人数的影响,在已有的最高聚集人数计算方法的基础上,给出了城市道路交通可靠性对铁路客运站最高聚集人数影响的计算方法:利用计算机工具,用旅客实际的候车时间减去旅客由于道路交通状态的不确定性需要额外准备的时间(即缓冲时间),重新得到旅客的候车时间分布,根据重新得到的候车时间分布,确定城市交通不稳定情况下的旅客最高聚集人数,并通过算例进行实证分析。研究结果可以为铁路规划和设计部门提供参考。更多还原

【Abstract】 Urban traffic reliability is an important factors to the maximum assembling passengers,based on the existing calculating method of maximum assembling passenger,a method was put forward to calculate the influence in quantitatively,the waiting time distribution renewedly was obtained through passenger waiting time subtract the buffer time,based on the new distribution and made empirical analysis through the computation the maximum assembling passengers was calculated.The computation result of numerical example can offer a scientific guidance to the planning and management of the railway department.更多还原