【摘要】 以系统动力学为框架研究短信的引导与管理,通过系统分析短信产业链结构,建立描述各要素相互作用的短信产业链系统动力学仿真模型,并用VENSIM PLE 5.4C对建立的模型进行运行和控制,得出短信产业链上运营商应为监管重点的结论.之后,利用模型对手机实名制和SP号码统一等短信相关的政策进行仿真模拟,得出两者都能达到减少不良短信的结论.本文的贡献在于,采用系统动力学建模分析短信产业链,并通过模拟仿真来试验性地论证短信监管的政策.更多还原

【Abstract】 Using system dynamics method,this study analyzes the SMS governance.A system dynamics model is built and is simulated with VENSIM PLE 5.4C.The simulation result proves that carries should be the key entity to be governed.This study also uses the model to analyze SMS policies and finally gets the conclusion that real mobile identification and unification the service providers’ access number could reduce harmful SMS.更多还原