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漳州市净第一性生产力动态变化及敏感性分析

Dynamic Changes and Sensitivity Analysis for Zhangzhou City’s Net Primary Productivity

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【作者】 黄永才; 陈松林;

【Author】 HUANG Yong-cai,CHEN Song-lin(College of Geographical Sciences,Fujian Normal University,Fuzhou 350007,China)

【机构】 福建师范大学地理科学学院; 福建师范大学地理科学学院 福建福州350007; 福建福州350007;

【摘要】 利用1961~2000年漳州市气象资料,运用Thornthwaite纪念模型估算漳州市净第一性生产力(NPP),并进行动态分析及对年均温和年降水量的敏感性分析。结果显示漳州市净第一性生产力随年份增加呈起伏递增趋势,且与年降水量和年均温正相关;漳州市净第一性生产力对年降水量变化比对年均温变化敏感,如果年降水量和年均温呈递增趋势,则对两者的敏感性将减弱,尤其对年降水量变化的敏感性下降显著。

【Abstract】 Thornthwaite memorial model was used to estimate the net primary productivity of Zhangzhou city according to the meteorological data of 1961~2000,and to carry out the dynamic analysis and sensitivity analysis of the annual rainfall and annual average temperature.The result showed that Zhangzhou’s net primary productivity revealed a trend of fluctuation increase year by year,and it had positive correlation with annual rainfall and annual average temperature;it was more sensitive to annual rainfall than to annual average temperature.If annual rainfall and annual average temperature presented a trend of steady increase,the sensitivity of the net primary productivity to both would be weakened significantly,especially to annual rainfall.

【基金】 福建省科技厅科技项目(2006F5029)
  • 【文献出处】 江西农业学报 ,Acta Agriculturae Jiangxi , 编辑部邮箱 ,2008年03期
  • 【分类号】S162
  • 【被引频次】1
  • 【下载频次】97
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