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股权分置改革中上证指数的波动——基于ARCH类模型的比较分析
Volatility Analysis on the Shanghai Security Index in the Stock Rights Splitting Reform
【摘要】 股权分置改革中股市的波动性受到各方因素的影响。文章运用ARCH类模型,对股权分置改革中的上证指数进行分时段拟合分析,发现改革前的市场有更大的波动性并存在反向杠杆效应,且不及股改后的市场有效率。
【Abstract】 In the stock rights splitting reform,stock market’s undulation receives all quarterly influence from seasonal factors.The article applies ARCH models to the Shanghai Security Index in the stock rights splitting reform.The analysis is done for different time intervals.There are some interesting findings that before the reform the market has a bigger undulation and have the reverse lever effect.And it is inferior to the market after reform.
【关键词】 股权分置改革;
ARCH效应;
波动性;
效率;
【Key words】 stock rights splitting reform; ARCH effect; volatility; efficiency;
【Key words】 stock rights splitting reform; ARCH effect; volatility; efficiency;
- 【文献出处】 统计与信息论坛 ,Statistics & Information Forum , 编辑部邮箱 ,2006年06期
- 【分类号】F832.51;F224
- 【被引频次】14
- 【下载频次】319