【摘要】 山西省2006-2011年初中教育的发展规模是在充分考虑时间序列相关性的影响下,使用Eviews软件,采用线性回归模型进行的。关于山西省2006-2011年初中教育的发展规模预测结果表明,在此期间山西省的初中教育规模将会因2002年所实施的小学学制的变更而产生较大的波动,并对山西省的初中教育发展规模产生较大影响。因此,山西省的教育管理部门需未雨绸缪,提前做好应对工作。更多还原

【Abstract】 With full consideration given to the influence of time serial correlation and by using Eviews and adopting Linear Regression Model, the paper predicts the educational development scale of Junior Secondary Schools in Shanxi Province in the next five years. During this period of time, great changes in the development of junior high schools will take place as a result of the change of primary educational system in 2002 which will affect the education development of junior high schools in Shanxi Province. Therefore, the educational authorities in Shanxi Province should do the preparatory work well to meet with the situation.更多还原