【摘要】 从中国社会的发展走向和所处的国际政治环境讨论了 2 0 0 8年北京奥运会对中国政治可能产生的影响 ,主要是提升中国的国际声望、强化民族认同感 ,增强社会凝集力、增强社会的整合能力、改善社会风气、增强政府的行政能力和加速社会发展进程。可能产生的负面影响主要有 :国内问题国际化、“人权”问题会变得更加敏感、北京与其他地区差异可能加大以及台独势力会打“奥运牌”。只有充分认识正反两个方面的影响 ,才能有针对性地采取措施 ,引导并放大其正效益 ,同时未雨绸缪 ,对可能出现的负效益加以防范和疏导 ,从而把握住这次难得的历史机遇 ,加速中国和平崛起的进程 ,使中国的发展进入一个新阶段。更多还原

【Abstract】 Authors discussed the possible political impacts related to the Beijing 2008 Oly mpics on China based on the social trend in China and international environment. The positive impacts probably are to improve China’s image, strengthen national identity, refine social integration, improve social ethics, enhance administrat ive ability of the government and accelerate the process of social development. While the negative aspects may occur such as internationalization of internal is sues, human rights issue may be more sensitive, the gap of Beijing and other are as may be enlarged, and the separatists in Taiwan may take some further move. It is necessary to know both positive and negative aspects in order to take proper measurements and to promote the process of China’s peaceful rise更多还原